Bond Trader 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Jun 30, 2009.

  1. 0944 EST

    In retrospect, I should have seen that coming. We hit POC, (according to my MP chart we hit 116 035 and POC was 116 030) AND we shot straight back up.

    That would have been a fine long trade. That is the unfortunate part of having a bias.
     
    #41     Jul 20, 2009
  2. 0947 EST

    It looks like they are popping us up pre-report for a swift ....

    Sorry I have to edit the above.

    It looks like they are popping us up pre-report for the infamous "Rochambeau".
     
    #42     Jul 20, 2009
  3. 0956 EST

    That is it for me for posting. With 1000 arriving I now have a bit of a window for an ideal time to trade and I need to concentrate.

    Good trading!
     
    #43     Jul 20, 2009
  4. I've messed with GA's a bit. To be honest I lump it all together, but yes, they are different, and my success with them is better BUT I still think the whole search a waste of time.
     
    #44     Jul 20, 2009
  5. Sorry, forgot to mention, in addition to the ranges previously posted, here is a specific ideal time to trade:

    1037 EST

    Let say, roughly 5 minutes on either side.
     
    #45     Jul 20, 2009
  6. 1006 EST

    Unless we start spiking up and breaking today's high, my best guess now is that we drift down into 1037 with a possible change in trend at that time.

    I'm flat.
     
    #46     Jul 20, 2009
  7. 0731 EST

    I would look to buy any approach one time of the following:

    116 240

    116 160

    Unfortunately the one time buy of 116 240 has already occured once at 0600 EST so I don't know that I would buy again now at 0733 EST.

    Also, the above levels are meaningless during market moving 0830 reports.

    Yesterday, my posted levels were good for my minimum 3 tick profit, EVEN with the direction of the market going up.
     
    #47     Jul 21, 2009
  8. Sorry if this has been addressed already, but how are you determining your ideal trade times? Is that based on fib time zones?

    Thx in advance.

    e.b.
     
    #48     Jul 21, 2009
  9. Market geometry and another method I can't discuss.

    Market geometry requires a properly scaled chart or it really doesn't work.

    The other way which I used in one of the previous journals was via a neural net work looking for the most ideal time to buy or sell on any given day.
     
    #49     Jul 21, 2009
  10. 0836 EST

    It looks like things are changing and overall direction is down.

    I'm now looking to sell for a first approach only:

    116 275

    116 210

    Current short at 116 160 will be watched closely and exited at break even if necessary.
     
    #50     Jul 21, 2009