Bond Trader 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Jun 30, 2009.

  1. I know them obviously, but I don't use them. Not against them, I just don't want to clutter up my view of the market.
     
    #191     Aug 6, 2009
  2. 0905 EST

    I'm going to take a break now. My thoughts are that we have had many down days in a row, and it may be time for the market to rest, or go higher.

    With that in mind, IF we manage to move back and forth between 115 180 and 115 140, and then start moving higher, I think a run for my pre-market posted levels is in order.

    A break of todays low would negate the above.
     
    #192     Aug 6, 2009
  3. Do you care about this:

    "The U.S. Fed will by buying bonds today in the 2016 -2019 range as part of its ongoing effort to keep interest rates low."
     
    #193     Aug 6, 2009
  4. Sure. That is important to know and it could be the reason why price only teased us with a small dip below previous day's lows. All I know is that since the day's low, my WGSR has told me that long is the place to be. Keep in mind that "they" can keep us in a tight 4 - 6 tick range for an hour or more and we haven't had that in a bit either.

    By the way, what is the timestamp on that news item?

    Thanks,

    John
     
    #194     Aug 6, 2009
  5. This has been known for weeks:

    http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/MarketSnapshot/BondMarketUpdate.htm

    http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/operation_schedule.html
     
    #195     Aug 6, 2009
  6. Got it, per previous posts, I'm not very good at the long term stuff. I thought it was something that was emphasized today, hence your question. With that in mind, forget what I said earlier. Well, the WGSR is still saying long, so, if I were to trade, I would look to scalping long initially with an eye towards us getting up to a minimum of 115 220.
     
    #196     Aug 6, 2009
  7. ivanbaj,

    I understand your question now. The short answer is no, I don't care about it. It doesn't affect me during my 1 - 4 hours of trading Mon - Fri. However, the news events that are posted in the weekly economic calendar I do pay attention to in the sense of the times so that I know to be out of a trade prior to a major report.

    John
     
    #197     Aug 6, 2009
  8. 1011 EST

    Something significant is about to happen...

    UPDATE 1012 EST

    It could be a change in trend or a spike higher. My guess is a spike higher.
     
    #198     Aug 6, 2009
  9. 1013 EST

    First target for this move is a minimum of the POC 115 210.

    Intermediate target is 115 250 and my further out target is 116 020.

    It would seem to me that the POC is a given as a target.

    Edited. Sorry, I get carried away when I call it right. I need to keep my balance.
     
    #199     Aug 6, 2009
  10. 1030 EST

    My best guess right now (famous last words) is that today will be a "V" day. I'm just looking at longs right now.

    Keep in mind that the pre-market sell on first approach of 116 020 is technically canceled. Although a sell at that level may be in order on a simple '000' playbook type of trade.
     
    #200     Aug 6, 2009