Bond Trader 2007

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Feb 6, 2007.

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  1. 0753 CST Initial targets met on both the ZB and ZN. Placing orders to exit half now.
     
    #791     Jul 9, 2007
  2. 0756 CST That was neat. It is always cool to get filled without price moving through your limit.

    Out of half ZB at 106 17 and half ZN 104 280. ZN sold earlier than above time.
     
    #792     Jul 9, 2007
  3. Out of remaining ZB at 106 14, and remaining ZN at 104 270.

    Ouch! Gave up too much on that half exit. I hesitated because technically, I would consider buying right now, but it is the right thing to do. Re-group, re-evaluate, and go on.
     
    #793     Jul 9, 2007
  4. 0807 I'm operating under the assumption of at least 12 more hours of higher prices.

    I'm looking to buy.

    I see upward targets of 106 20 and 106 24. A decisive break above those two will lead price to 107 12.

    Hard to say how long the above will take, as today is a Monday. We may not get past 106 24 today. We may have to wait until tomorrow for 107 12.
     
    #794     Jul 9, 2007
  5. 0813 Order in to buy 8 ZN 104 270. This is risky, as we could have an exhaustion problem. Target is re-test of highs.
     
    #795     Jul 9, 2007
  6. 0816 Filled.

    First target is 104 285 followed by 104 295.
     
    #796     Jul 9, 2007
  7. 0836 CST So far so good. There was a rather remarkable opportunity to get in to the ZN at my 104 270 price while the ZB was breaking 106 18 - 106 19. That kind of hint doesn't come around all of the time. I was happy with my size so I passed.

    I have a neural net program based on cycles (Ehler's stuff) that issued a buy around 106 16. I call this NN, the Cycle Studies Holy Grail. That is what I would like it to be anyway. Works for me.
     
    #797     Jul 9, 2007
  8. Got out of half earlier at 104 270.

    I still like this trade so I'm leaving 4 ZN's alone.

    I will be back in 30 minutes.
     
    #798     Jul 9, 2007
  9. Looks like the first three times are working out. Too early to tell on the 0930 put we appear to have turned here.
     
    #799     Jul 9, 2007
  10. Here is the chart.

    The important thing is not so much that the red line is spot on the exact low or high. The important thing is I told you hours in advance to expect a turning point time. Use your own system to evaluate things as the time grows close.
     
    #800     Jul 9, 2007
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