Bond Trader 2007

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Feb 6, 2007.

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  1. I knew we had at least 1 more short to get out of the market.

    My soft rule is 2 profitable trades in a row, consider calling it a day. A harder rule, is 3 profitable trades in a row and call it a day.

    I think we have one last short right now. I'm just watching for the right level.
     
    #341     Apr 13, 2007
  2. I have sells in at 110 11 and 110 13. I'm taking a break for 20 - 30 minutes.
     
    #342     Apr 13, 2007
  3. I canceled the above sells prior to retiring for the evening. You could have sold 110 07 for a couple of ticks.

    Beautiful day on 13 Friday 2007. Everything worked as expected.
     
    #343     Apr 13, 2007
  4. You cant sell bonds. Not when the world supply of fx reserves is ballooning too almost a trillion dollars a year. Its simply impossible. When they move we can move. The official sector is begining to overrun private capital flows.
     
    #344     Apr 13, 2007
  5. Greetings!

    I'm very short term capturing 4 - 6 ticks intraday on the ZB futures contract. Selling worked very well for me on Friday.

    You are a longer term investor, correct? Please post your insights as often as you would like. I am trying to study the longer term as much as possible.

    Regards,

    John
     
    #345     Apr 13, 2007
  6. It goes without saying that today will be an important day. This week will be important, specifically, Mon, Tuesday and Thursday.

    My prediction is that one of the above three days will be a day of redemption. Be prepared!

    Today will be a standard report day trade. My numbers are essentially the same as Friday.

    No bias, but it does look like we might head lower. If we head lower, 109 27 is a given in the ZB, and probably a minimum of 109 15 and an outlier low of 109 06. I don't think we have a shot at the upside initially, but if you are so inclined, I published upside numbers last week.

    FYI: It goes without saying that you don't want to play a pre-market move this week. There will be plenty of time to get in on a retracement. I think we will coin a new phrase this week. I'm predicting a week of redemption.

    Good trading!
     
    #346     Apr 16, 2007
  7. 0825 CST Bought 4 ZN 107 110.

    Trying to buy ZB's at 110 12 or 110 13.

    Target on the ZB is an easy 110 19 to 110 20.

    Target on the ZN is 107 140 to 107 155.

    There is a very important cycle time coming up which may indicate a turning point. More to come later.
     
    #347     Apr 16, 2007
  8. It looks like I'll close the buy at 110 13. We won't be coming back for 45 minutes or so. I should have taken my buy signal at 0738.
     
    #348     Apr 16, 2007
  9. 0837 CST Get ready for a stop run....may not happen....

    0839 CST Out of 2 ZN 107 135. Holding 2 ZN for higher. Today isn't a day to be shy.

    0841 CST Out of rest at 107 135. Not bad. Could have been better with the 0738 CST buy, or with larger size.

    FYI, when I initiated this trade, I had a 2 lot on the ZB and a 4 lot on the ZN. Only the ZN got filled.
     
    #349     Apr 16, 2007
  10. dhpar

    dhpar

    I thought you said that apocalypse is coming next week...(?) :)
     
    #350     Apr 16, 2007
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