Bond Trader 2006

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Jan 25, 2006.

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  1. Amazing. The NN has taken a dive to China. It is hitting negative numbers I haven't seen before.

    If you are short, consider taking some profits, but whatever you do, DON"T reverse. Let things sort themselves out.

    FWIW, I'm still short 2 ZB's.
     
    #351     Jul 3, 2006
  2. The only caveat is that 106 10 is a Tipping Hand price.
     
    #352     Jul 3, 2006
  3. We are at the 0755 cycle time I mentioned earlier. Caution look for more downside but be prepared to lock in profits.
     
    #353     Jul 3, 2006
  4. I'm looking to get out at 106 10. Limit order is in.
     
    #354     Jul 3, 2006
  5. 0803 CST Bought 2 ZB's 106 10.

    I think I'll call it a day. I need to work on my web sites for a while.
     
    #355     Jul 3, 2006
  6. Observations

    Did you notice that I only traded a 2 lot today?

    Did you notice that on Friday I wrote that Friday was a day to trade multiples of one's normal size?

    Learning how to spot these different types of days takes some practice, but an economic calendar and an analysis of price action will let you know when to hold back and when to do a Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle.
     
    #356     Jul 3, 2006
  7. Wednesday 05 July 2006

    Today we have the following (CST):

    MBA Purchase Applications
    0600

    ICSC-UBS Store Sales
    0645

    ADP Employment
    0715

    Redbook
    0755

    Factory Orders
    0900

    Ah, what a shame. I'm writing this now at 0530, and I see that prices have traded from a high of 106 19 to a low of 106 05, all between the time of 0100 and 0530! This is the price action I would have loved to have seen on Monday July 3rd.

    Price projection numbers:

    106 28
    106 20

    106 15
    106 03

    Tipping Hand Prices:

    106 10
    105 20
    105 12

    No bias. Need to see what the reports will do. Obviously now that we are at the lower end of the price projection numbers it would seem logical that we'll get a chance at the highs again.

    Long term (weeks or months out) I still think we will revisit the lows.
     
    #357     Jul 5, 2006
  8. 0728 Sold 2 ZB 106 05.

    Will sell more higher if possible.
     
    #358     Jul 5, 2006
  9. 0730 Sold 4 ZN 104 160.

    Tried to get 104 170 and so on. Didn't work.

    Will sell more higher if possible.
     
    #359     Jul 5, 2006
  10. Target is 105 28 on the ZB's and equivalent on the ZN's.

    Now is not the time for a bathroom break!

    UPDATE
    0740 If we don't break 00's consider exiting for profit.
     
    #360     Jul 5, 2006
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