Bond rally nearing an end?

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by gharghur2, Jan 18, 2006.

  1. Surdo

    Surdo

    Thanks Tony!
    I will certainly be watching every tick over here.
     
    #931     May 4, 2006
  2. landboy

    landboy

    110 would mean about a 4.7% yield in the 30y, that's pretty inverted and pretty optimistic no?
     
    #932     May 4, 2006
  3. Maybe so, but then again it's only temporary.

    Bonds will head lower after that, probably to PAR.
     
    #933     May 4, 2006
  4. mcurto

    mcurto

    Abby Cohen of Goldman was out with the 4.30% 10yr cash yield by the end of the year, curve would be massively inverted under that scenario. Look out, Goldman is getting short into their buy recommendation, big surprise there. They called 1325 in Spooz last time around and we preceded to tank back below 1300.
     
    #934     May 4, 2006
  5. Abby talks and Goldman's traders fade HER? Funny!

    Everyone has had the SPX several times over now from 1310 right up to 1318 cash. In fact, it looks to be in a diagonal triangle there. Another trip back to 1300 and it won't be seeing 1316 for quite a while.

    Looks like the potential is here for a massive short covering rally.
    thx...
     
    #935     May 4, 2006
  6. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    well ZN is just the electronic version of TY. Same contract size
     
    #936     May 4, 2006
  7. THX ... only goes to show you how much I know about Bonds
     
    #937     May 4, 2006
  8. nominal inflation running at 7% ...the 10 year should be near 10%
     
    #938     May 4, 2006
  9. Could you elaborate? thanks.

     
    #939     May 4, 2006
  10. M3 money supply is running at about 8% growth y/y and a multiyear look at the dollar index and you're getting butchered by devaluation.....

    hell, the 10 year should be near 15% come to think of it.....

    all told by the price of gold, the purest of the pure............
     
    #940     May 4, 2006