Bond rally nearing an end?

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by gharghur2, Jan 18, 2006.

  1. Hi Surdo,

    Still looking at 105ish 30yr, and 104ish 10yr for the end of this move down.
     
    #771     Apr 27, 2006
  2. And I'm happy that they're happy :)
     
    #772     Apr 27, 2006
  3. Surdo

    Surdo

    Thank you Tony!
     
    #773     Apr 27, 2006
  4. Well, bonds are now joining the parade because the additional inflation-risk premium that was integrated into the yield curve this morning has completely dissipated.
     
    #774     Apr 27, 2006
  5. I'm happy too.:)
     
    #775     Apr 27, 2006
  6. Feeding frenzy!
    What happens when the euphoria wears off ?
     
    #776     Apr 27, 2006
  7. The euphoria can't last very long while markets are still cautious because they still are.
     
    #777     Apr 27, 2006
  8. Funny indeed.
     
    #779     Apr 27, 2006
  9. Today’s auction of 5s was just as dismal as the previous auctions this week. It really looks like the Foreign banks are on a buyers strike. If this is the case (and I think it is highly likely) then the curve is really going to steepen. I remember reading where it was estimated that foreign demand for treasuries was keeping yields 100-200bp lower. This must be why the 10s have increased 50bp since March and swap spreads have NARROWED (and the embi spread over treasuries is at a all-time low).

    I noticed that yesterday the Sep. par 30yr puts traded 20,000 with a sizable jump in open interest. We may see par much sooner than Labor Day.
     
    #780     Apr 27, 2006