it might be a good idea to analyze the strength of the bond market after the fed stops cutting rates. this might be a better idea than drawing elliot waves, poking voodoo dolls, studying tea leaves or trying to apply other forms of black magic to get a "read" on the bond market.
killATwill, You recently moved to China... I good friend of mine (econonics grad student) is moving back to China late this summer and I plan to visit him and his wife next year after they get settled in. Maybe we can have a China ET meeting somewhere. Anyways, when you used the above word after... Are you suggesting not to trade bonds nor do any strength analysis until after the fed stops cutting rates If your not suggesting that...how should a trader analyze the strength of the bond market until the fed stops cutting rates.??? I've attached 30 Year ZB bond chart is the H contract although we are currently the M contract. Mark (a.k.a. NihabaAshi Japanese Candlestick thread <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1001883</img>
Morning, I've been tracking most of the bond marketing privately, except for the yield on the 30yr bond, which I've been discussing on my blog for some time. Yesterday, I decided for what its worth to post all my charts for the interest rate market on my chart link: http://spaces.msn.com/caldaroEW/ http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID1606987 All the charts, are continuation charts going back several years: daily and weekly charts are posted. The following markets are covered: 90 day bill yield 2yr note yield 10yr yield and price 30 yr yield and price Naturally I'm applying OEW to these markets. Thought you guys might be interested. tony
Nice job, really. Your target just got hit and I don't know if there's anybody else in the world who rode this thing from 115+ to 110'08!
I was long some 110 puts on the June 30 year (May exp.) at 18-19. Sold out around 38...now trading over 100 I believe.