Bond rally nearing an end?

Thanks

 

-- = Major Sell Signal 10 yr T-Notes

 

Interesting. I just sold ZN's at 105 100 within minutes of your post.

Can you elaborate on your reasons for a sell? After all this is signifcant as you've been long since 105 12 on the ZB.

I'm still waiting for traders to square away for the weekend. I'm looking for a re-test of today's low as I can't imagine anyone wanting to hold much of anything over this particualr weekend, i.e. Middle East, Asia, etc, etc.

 

With stocks collapsing, I would be surprised to see ZN lead the way down today. At this point, big money is going to wait until next week to sell bonds or buy stocks.

In retrospective, I think Lance's signal was a valid one but that turned out to be sabotaged few minutes later by the stock market's sudden and violent reversal.

 

Sell signal is based on the C.O.T.

 

I am curious what does your COT analysis tell you about Crude, Gold, Euro, SPU??

Thanks.

 

COMMERCIAL HEDGER LARGE SPECULATOR SMALL TRADER

SYMBOL 7/03 CHANGE 7/03 CHANGE 7/03 CHANGE


-- EUROFX 3% 3 97% -3 85% -5



NO SIGNALS ON: CRUDE OIL, GOLD

 

NO SIGNAL FOR SPU


-- DOWIND 1% 1 80% 1 96% -4

July 3rd signal

 

Thanks, Lance. While not clear, I'm assuming also no signal for the Euro. Correct??

 

July 6, three days later there was a Divergence on the 60 min DOWIND, confirming the signal and low risk entry for the Big fall down.