Bond Market=no recession

Discussion in 'Economics' started by eagle488, Nov 16, 2006.

  1. I just looked at the yield curve and it looks like we wont have a recession. The bond market has spoken.
  2. Dogfish


  3. He might have been looking at a corporate or municipal curve. Treasuries have much more derivatives-related buying that might be "artificially" inflating values and distorting the shape of its curve.
  4. Isn't there a model that has some predictive value regarding the spread between different maturities and the probability of a recession? I thought someone had posted something like that on this site.