Bond Futures

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by spreadem, Jun 19, 2003.

  1. Pabst

    Pabst

    #321     Sep 1, 2003
  2. Sept bonds are continuing lower ... is anybody still short?
     
    #322     Sep 3, 2003
  3. bone

    bone

    The websites for both Eurex and the CBOT will list the cheapest-to-deliver instruments along with the conversion factor. These can change during the course of the contract expiry - especially after an auction, coupon stripping for one of the CTD issues, Fed buyback of one of the CTD issues, or if the repo rate changes. The on-the-run issue traded on Cantor is usually the CTD as well. The long basis, cash-and-carry trade is that you pay the overnight repo rate to buy a cash bond which is used as collateral for the repo loan, and you subsequently sell it to the exchange. It's essentially a butterfly spread. Dealers and banks love to squeeze these guys. As they say, no free lunch. All real basis traders own a Bloomberg. Indispensable. All of these clean and dirty prices are calculated for you.

    All of this is totally inconsequential for you unless: 1. You are going to trade the basis, and/or 2. You are going to trade the calendar spread. Item 1 requires mucho capital or a good, solid line of credit from Cantor or Brokertec.

    Don't fret about this. No arb for you here.
     
    #323     Sep 3, 2003
  4. So it has been how many weeks since Greenspan's first day of testimony before Congress that collapsed the bond and refi markets. This week, it looked to me like we were going down again until Thursday when the clearest go long signal in the world was given well ahead of time, namely 4 (might have been 5)Fed Governors appearing in one day across the nation starting early in the morning and speaking until after 6PM EDT. Their mission was obvious to all but me anyway.. .


    Well oh they just said it on CNBC. Guess that's it for me.... You can see what happened anyway.

    Geo.:(
     
    #324     Sep 5, 2003
  5. EricP

    EricP

    I can't help you with a calculation. However, if you'd like a spreadsheet with the interest rate (to four decimal points) for every possible price of the CBOT Treasury securities, you might want to take a look at this link from the CBOT website:

    http://www.cbot.com/cbot/docs/36987.xls

    Good luck,
    -Eric
     
    #325     Sep 5, 2003
  6. 3dog

    3dog

    #326     Sep 7, 2003
  7. McCloud

    McCloud

    #327     Sep 17, 2003
  8. intraday

    scalp or daytrade pivots , % of daily range etc

    successfully without access to the big mortgage backed
    securities cash data as well as cash note and bond info

    other than the yield index ( 10 + 30 ) ?

    in other words do the big shooters have a huge advantage
    over me because I do not have a bloomberg?
     
    #328     Sep 18, 2003
  9. I think there is more showing size gamesmanship
    (B.S. )in bonds / notes than

    in Spoos / Nas ... or at least as much

    :p
     
    #329     Sep 19, 2003
  10. I would not try to scalp Bonds on 1 min charts but % of range is a good tool combined with s/r .
    I watch Dow , S&P and Nasdaq just to see if there is any major moves against what I intend to do . It is important to know recent intermarket pattern ( not always are Bonds moving in opposite direction of a stocks . )
    Big shooters have advantage because they can huddle before they put positions on and they can push market into stops , not because they have a Bloomberg.
    Walter
     
    #330     Sep 19, 2003