the bottom was made for the next few weeks / months in bond futures on the open and the yields topped out on this move will there be any retracement monday ?
"Implied volatility is now at what looks like at least a 10-year high. Implied volatility is higher than in 1998 when it spiked during the Asian Financial Crisis and in the midst of the LTCM collapse and the Russian default. A contrary indicator, the extraordinary level of implied volatility suggests that the bottoming process has advanced. "
I went long TLT at the close. Are you guys long too or what? wouldn't be a good sign if we are all long ahaha... Mc Cloud could you give me the symbols for the 30y and 10 y yields in Quote.com?
INDEX:TYX.X for 30-year Treasury Bond Index INDEX:TNX.X for 10-year Treasury Note Index INDEX:FVX.X for 5-year Treasury Note Index
Yeah, I started building a long position this morning. I'm not being very aggressive yet, about 20% of a full position so far. I also began to build a short stock position as well. Regards, Dr. Zhivodka BTW: Everyone always associates October as the month when the Stock Market gets itself into deep do-do. But if you check your chart books you'll see that historically August has been a very nasty month indeed. This month is not to be ignored.
Plus if Crude Oils stays way up here where it is now it will just rip the face off this economy. Crude Oil over $32 is nightmare for an economy that is basically on a respirator as it is. Dr. Zhivodka
It has been one amazing move up in yields. Just as striking has been the move in STIRs the last couple of days. For example this is the chart of Dec 04 Euribor... Panic or what? Q1