blue horseshoe loves VLO

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by iceman1, Oct 31, 2006.

VLO trades 57.50-60 by XMAS?

  1. oh yeah

    9 vote(s)
    28.1%
  2. are you crazy with oil lower

    4 vote(s)
    12.5%
  3. certainly doable

    7 vote(s)
    21.9%
  4. no

    12 vote(s)
    37.5%
  1. wouldn't the options give you the probability? It is priced in the calls and puts.
     
    #11     Nov 4, 2006
  2. When you are dealing with businesses in commodities, no company is really a long term winner. These type of companies will just swing to extreme levels in both directions. It's just the nature of the commodities.

    As far as investigating options pricing to determine the future direction of the stock I'm not so sure that works. There is no way to determine what percentage of the open interests are hedging the underlying stock from those that truly believe the stock is going to rise or fall.
     
    #12     Nov 5, 2006
  3. i agree - but large o/i at strikes does often provide clues as to likely expiry ranges
     
    #13     Nov 5, 2006
  4. ALL ABOARD.... train leaves shortly!

    JMHO

    IcE
    :cool:
     
    #14     Nov 9, 2006

  5. this stock is driving me crazy along with QCOM.

    go figure... market making new highs and QCOM (once with a 3/4 digit price tag) is wallowing in the mud) and VLO is schizo!
     
    #15     Nov 12, 2006
  6. motomundy

    motomundy

    I just exited VLO on Thursday. Friday's are usually a down day for VLO in the past few weeks.

    Looking to reenter sometime next week.

    A little worried about oil and the new congress.
     
    #16     Nov 12, 2006
  7. agree

    not looking for a double> just 10-15% by 12/31
     
    #17     Nov 12, 2006
  8. I think I got a lucky number! check out 3 month chart:)
     
    #18     Dec 30, 2006
  9. What an ugly mess. This might be the worst chart I've seen lately... not a good omen for my various energy shares.. although the shift in additives killed these guys.
     
    #19     Dec 31, 2006
  10. Yep it looks like this sucker is about to go into a new trading range much lower than it's current one.
     
    #20     Dec 31, 2006