for now I am just seeing the dealer as if he/she is a really good BJ player that tends to get great hands dealt. this strategy seems to be helping me keep a mental tally of when I can/should increase and decrease my bet size.
I'm beginning to think that the dealer drawing a 17, and when the dealer pushes on any number, it is deadly for the dealer - maybe not for the immediate next couple hands, but somehow at times it fries the dealer's odds briefly for a hand or two, three.... go ahead, call me "delusional."
I admire your persistence, however, you're wasting your time. The only way to win at blackjack in the long run is to count cards -- it has been scientifically confirmed via elaborate and comprehensive mathematical proof. See Griffin, The Theory of Blackjack, Huntington Press (1999).
another combination is when I draw a natural 21 (blackjack) and the dealer draws a high count, like, 20. when that combo is preceeded by the dealer drawing high numbers (19+) for a few hands, his/her odds also hit a vacuum temporarily - maybe for a hand to 3 hands afterwards. though I have to watch it because my odds of winning may also drop suddenly. in this circumstance, as long as my odds remain higher than the dealer's, I can max bet and win multiple hands in a row suddenly. it helps!
I misunderstood -- until now. You believe in magic. The cards however, do not share in your belief system. Las Vegas is literally built on the corpses of people exactly like you. The casinos are positively drooling in anticipation of your arrival.
ya see, the bottom line is, you got to look for small windows of time opening up when the odds are slightly in your favor then nail the dealer. you have to try to corner the market (in this case the cards) then get in quick, snap a hand or two then cut your bet size to zilch while the dealer pounds you with his 19, 20 and 21 point winners.
I don't believe in magic. I make my own. ya just got to realize how dangerous the dealer is. that he/she can run in minor "streaks" (it would appear) or trends where s/he can get 2,3,4 wins at 20s and 21s right in a row.
There's nothing whatsoever new in what you have just described. The technique is called "Wonging it," and is named for probably the greatest all around blackjack player ever: Stanford Wong. Basically, you count the cards from behind the table until the shoe gets extremely positive with tens and aces, and then you walk up and place large bets until the count falls to normal again. Unfortunately, the casinos are well aware of this technique and casino security will not long endure anyone who plays like this. They just walk up to you and say, "Sir, please feel free to enjoy the amenities of our establishment, however, if you persist in playing blackjack, we will be forced to ask you to leave." If you continue to play, the security guards grab you by the arms and escort you into a back room, where it is explained to you that you are trespassing under Nevada Law, and that if you do not leave immediately and not return, that they will have you arrested. It's all old news.
He could be "the one": "A different argument points to the near certainty of some stocks, funds, or analysts [read traders] doing well over an extended period merely by chance. Of 1000 stocks (or funds or analysts), for example, roughly 500 might be expected to outperform the market next year simply by chance, say by the flipping of a coin. Of these 500, roughly 250 might be expected to do well for a second year. And of the 250, roughly 125 might be expected to continue the pattern, doing well three years in a row simply by chance. Iterating in this way, we might reasonably expect there to be a stock (or fund or analyst) among the thousand that does well for ten consecutive years by chance alone. Once again, some in the business media are likely to go gaga over the performance." - John Allen Paulos, "A Mathematician Plays The Stock Market"