Black Swan sighted in Saudi?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by EMRGLOBAL, Apr 27, 2007.

  1. This thread is hilarious.

    Where's the beef?
     
    #11     Apr 27, 2007
  2. S2007S

    S2007S

    if this does happen, 70+ is going to happen, any hurricane comes into the factor and say hello to new record highs, 80+ is 100% guaranteed on the barrel.


    Gas is going to $4 a gallon if this does happen.
     
    #12     Apr 27, 2007
  3. kashirin

    kashirin


    what does happen? Nothing happened ever. Not a single concern materialized
    All this market is just fear. Fear for nothing
    We have so much oil we even don't have storage to put it in
    Our problems are refineries not oil.
    All those concerns already added probably $30 to the oil price.

    oil at 80 or higher = guaranteed multiple rate hikes+resession+US is not wealthy country
    But corporations will be happy
    Will it be allowed?
     
    #13     Apr 27, 2007
  4. SteveD

    SteveD

    Terrorist been trying to hit oil fields for years....nothing new..


    US is not a wealthy country??????

    We probably spend more on candy and popcorn than 80% of the world GDP.....

    I think both CA and TX would be in the top 25 countries by them selves....

    Salaries paid to MLB, NBA and NFL players also exceeds majority of countries GDP...


    Need to get a little perspective.....oil at $100 would not cause Fed to increase??? It would lower rates.....


    SteveD
     
    #14     Apr 27, 2007
  5. Betwixt 99atlantic's teeth.
     
    #15     Apr 27, 2007
  6. kashirin

    kashirin

    In 5 years our average salary decreased almost 2 times if count in Euros
    We support our current lifestyle only because of cheap chinese labour and illigal immigrants
    But in 5 years even cheap chinese labour will be expensive for us

    Consumer economy will be over by 2012

    It's time to start over again.
    Stop free trade, stop outsourcing, stop buying oil from hostile countries,return factories back home, take people from Walmart back to factories, use public transportation for all needs
     
    #16     Apr 27, 2007
  7. Do you even know what percentage of US oil comes from the middle east?

    Look it up, the number would shock you.
    Go google now!
     
    #17     Apr 27, 2007
  8. Doesn't matter. Crude, like cash is fungible. Doesn't matter where it is or where it goes or who wants it or who has it...it's always the same price for everyone at all times.


     
    #18     Apr 27, 2007
  9. kashirin

    kashirin

    Do you even know how much oil US consume?

    Can you imagine what will happen with oil prices if we cut consumtion by 15%?

    Is it possible to cut consumption by 15% in one day? Easy - tax energy like it's done in Europe. Gas must cost $8 per gallon
     
    #19     Apr 27, 2007
  10. waxwing

    waxwing

    What would happen if the US cut consumption by 15%?

    Well, with all other things being equal, and given that the 5% of the world population in the US consumes approximately 25% of the world's production, then the obvious answer is that consumption would be reduced by 0.15*0.25, i.e. 3.75%.
    Unfortunately, all rational analysis seems to suggest that production cannot increase, and is likely to fall from here, and that demand from Asia is rising rapidly.

    Therefore I'd say a reasonable answer to your question would be that if the US cuts its demand by 15% very rapidly (months, not years), it will delay a further rise in the price of oil. For a little while.
     
    #20     Apr 28, 2007