Black Monday ??

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by hank rollins, Apr 15, 2005.

  1. MRWSM

    MRWSM

    The panic rating on my program is higher than I have seen it since 2002. Still not in panic mode but getting closer. We need a bounce soon.
     
    #121     Apr 17, 2005
  2. danoXP

    danoXP

    Here is the followup chart - 1987 big drop

    I read somewhere that SP futures were 7% lower before the market opened Monday 930AM. From this chart - it looks like it may have gapped down 5% or so.

    Also, even though it was a huge drop ... it only gave back a years worth of gains (we are trading at 1998/1999 levels on equity indexes now).

    ... i think we should be looking more closely at the 1989 real estate market crash ;)
     
    #123     Apr 17, 2005
  3. Why?

    Let the jerks who've been shorting volatility feel the pain for a while!

     
    #125     Apr 18, 2005
  4. volente_00

    volente_00

    "it looks like we got some decent sized selloffs almost every year during tax week. The following week after these tax week selloffs were positive. I haven't done a serious analysis of this yet, just took a quick glance."



    This has been a strong correlation in the past, I think it is due to people selling to pay tax that they still owe.
     
    #126     Apr 18, 2005
  5. WORD!
     
    #127     Apr 18, 2005
  6. jsp326

    jsp326

    Monday is looking a little blackish in Japan right now, for what it's worth. The Nikkei was down about 3.5% last time I checked.
     
    #128     Apr 18, 2005
  7. aqtrader

    aqtrader

    1/17/2003.

    A complete list of such periods from 1997:
    10/23/1997
    08/27/1998
    01/12/1999
    08/26/1999
    04/12/2000
    08/28/2001
    09/19/2001
    06/19/2002
    07/08/2002
    07/18/2002
    08/01/2002
    01/17/2003
    04/13/2004
     
    #129     Apr 18, 2005
  8. yenzen

    yenzen

    good work.

    Its both funny and scary how quickly people forget the pandemonium of 2002.

    Senor Zen
     
    #130     Apr 18, 2005