Discussion in 'Trading' started by PohPoh, Jan 21, 2008.
And thanks crashing Spoo!
99% down room to go - ZERO RISK!
Lets see if we can get a follow thru to maybe a black Tuesday when the cash opens up or atleast see what asia does later.
Hmmm are current markets looking like the lead up to the 1987 crash?
The crash on October 19, 1987, a date that is also known as Black Monday, was the climactic culmination of a market decline that had begun five days before on October 14th. The DJIA fell 3.81 percent on October 14, followed by another 4.60 percent drop on Friday October 16th. But this was nothing compared to what lay ahead when markets opened on the subsequent Monday. On Black Monday, the Dow Jones Industrials Average plummeted 508 points, losing 22.6% of its value in one day. The S&P 500 dropped 20.4%, falling from 282.7 to 225.06. The NASDAQ Composite lost only 11.3% not because of restraint on the part of sellers but because the NASDAQ market system failed. Deluged with sell orders, many stocks on the NYSE faced trading halts and delays. Of the 2,257 NYSE-listed stocks, there were 195 trading delays and halts during the day.
A stock market crash is a sudden dramatic decline of stock prices across a significant cross-section of a stock market. Crashes are driven by panic as much as by underlying economic factors. They often follow speculative stock market bubbles.
Stock market crashes are social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behaviour and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where P/E ratios exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants.
There is no numerically-specific definition of a crash but the term commonly applies to steep double-digit percentage losses in a stock market index over a period of several days. Crashes are often distinguished from bear markets by panic selling and abrupt, dramatic price declines. Bear markets are periods of declining stock market prices that are measured in months or years. While crashes are often associated with bear markets, they do not necessarily go hand in hand.
Yes this could get pretty ugly.
The crash of 1987 was triggered by interest rates. This market has NOTHING to do with that one.
Can we please consolidate tyese 'black __day' threads into one? This is getting ridiculous. We're in a bear market, down days are going to be the norm.
Just because the 1987 drop was caused by interest rates does not mean we can have another 10-20% single day drop caused by something like credit worries, deliquencies, or even fear of a global slowdown.
Do we have these conditions...leverage, margin debt....selling feedback...
well look at this way you might get a chance tro buy stock,s at a discout price if you are a long time buy and hold person
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