China is turning into a greek tragedy. I am long SP futures @1964. There are risks, oil being high on list. China is not doing the right thing. PBC needs to buy US Dollars and sell Yen will stop the slide. Crush the EUR/USD will also work - its going to 1 anyway. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/06/chin...orea-h-bomb-weigh-on-asian-stock-markets.html
Profit target is dynamic. At the time of this writing it is ES 1988 ish or SPX 1992 ish Those are typical targets when I enter an ES trade, ~+20 on the first, ~+50 on the second. But of course things can play out much differently if the model converges to a divergent underlying.
There are some very scary currents on the very long term scales that are spooking the markets. We are definitely on a pivot from which there is no return. However, the model sees this, and says the fear while warranted still has "FV" higher from here. Here is a clue. The only thing that can save this market now is tech.