Bitcoin Price Thread

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by Magna, Nov 26, 2017.

  1. johnarb

    johnarb

    #6161     Sep 25, 2024
    semperfrosty and NoahA like this.
  2. 2rosy

    2rosy

    kalshi is laying 7 to 1 on your guaranteed projection. it's a better bet than your perpetual
     
    #6162     Sep 25, 2024
  3. johnarb

    johnarb

    What's the spread on those? I never heard of Kalshi, do you think your funds are safe?

    Perpetual futures are liquid 24x7 and check out the spread on bybit, very very liquid

    99.9988% btc trades to $100k before 1/1/2025

    Are you trading btc still? post a trade, take a position, nothing ventured nothing gained


    By the way, I trade long vol, leveraged long vol, leveraged twice long vol

    mstr call options, case in point


    If you're so sure that that my prediction of $100k/btc before eoy 2024 has no chance, you are most welcome to sell as much of those call options on Kalshi. FREE MONEY $$$$
     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2024
    #6163     Sep 25, 2024
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  4. 2rosy

    2rosy

    kalshi is cftc regulated
    https://kalshi.com/blog/article/how-is-kalshi-regulated

    safer than any crypto exchange.
    I am slowly but surely divesting crypto. Maybe should speed that up.

    Your original projection was 150k, now it's 100k https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/bitcoin-price-thread.315402/page-610#post-6022323
     
    #6164     Sep 25, 2024
  5. johnarb

    johnarb

    No, $100k/btc 99.9988% probability is what I said on that post

    $150k is a probably,, big difference

    You don't like $100k/btc? bitcoin was less than $60k at the time

    So, you're not trading but selling bitcoin/crypto? I thought you sell short the rallies?

    I don't see any trading calls from you, don't be afraid to make a call, or even trade and post it. This is a trading site
     
    #6165     Sep 25, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.
  6. NoahA

    NoahA

    I'm waiting for the squeeze like GME that cannot be turned off. I want the God/Omega candle. I will of course be happy with $100k, but I want fireworks. I want to see every paper Bitcoin outfit exposed.

    On the one hand, I think its incredible that all the selling from Germany and Mt. Gox for example has been absorbed without too much downside, but how on earth hasn't Bitcoin already gone to the moon? It just doesn't add up to me to be honest. Who the fuck is selling outside of these two big players to meet all the bitcoin that the ETFs have been soaking up?

    But luckily with Bitcoin, in a time of crisis, there will be no way to fake having bitcoin, and i even imagine that after a huge move, much of the bitcoin proxy profits will be turned into real bitcoin, so that will provide even more buying power. Whereas a major dump can happen after a parabolic move in some stock, it can't stay that high. But with bitcoin, I think it easily can and even accelerate, so this is what I'm waiting to see.
     
    #6166     Sep 25, 2024
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  7. That multiplier value is stupid. It's like the same thing they did with the original 5x BTC multiple size at the very beginning. Which everyone HATED by the way.

    Stick to decimal point movements... knock it off with the odd numbers.
     
    #6167     Sep 25, 2024
  8. johnarb

    johnarb

    TradFi is dampening the btc volatility, too many basis trades that are capturing juicy yields, i.e. Millennium fund buying billions of $ worth of Ibit and selling futures to lock in double digit APY's

    With the accelerated approval of Ibit options, things may continue

    On the other hand, these are the best traders and when time is right, they'll lay off the shorts or the ones too slow would get rekt, part of TradFi doing TradFi business

    I'm starting to dabble on the Perpetual futures in anticipation of Uptober which is getting near, hope I don't get liquidated with a flash crash

    Global liquidity is about to explode, China printing is in the news, other global central banks will follow, and bitcoin will benefit just in time for the strongest quarterly performance Q4

    Buckle up


     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2024
    #6168     Sep 25, 2024
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  9. Havent done my due diligence but this one just hit the stream too:

    upload_2024-9-26_20-10-39.png

    This is one of the things Ive been waiting for in terms of adoption.
     
    #6169     Sep 26, 2024
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  10. johnarb

    johnarb

    Yup, that PayPal news for business accounts is great!

    River came out with a report that there's an explosive growth of their (private) business clients that are buying bitcoin for their treasuries

    Individuals have been able to do this with PayPal for a while, using bitcoin as a savings account instead of cash... and now this news allows PayPal business accounts

    I've done it for my family, we have majority of our net worth converted into bitcoin as our life savings account

    Individuals and businesses will come to realize their wealth is melting when measured in the best money in the history of the world
     
    #6170     Sep 26, 2024
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