Bitcoin "Freefall"

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by SunTrader, Dec 15, 2021.

  1. Sprout

    Sprout


    Maybe it's easier to visualize from a different perspective;

    https://www.blockchaincenter.net/bitcoin-supply/
     
    #81     Dec 18, 2021
    johnarb likes this.
  2. johnarb

    johnarb

    Why so bearish?

    Wolf of All Street says support is $42K if it breaks, $38Ksh...


    We're looking for BTC to get above $53K, then continue to go above $61K, and hope to go above $75K before eoy

    $100K/BTC is not looking good before eoy but could happen before April, 2022

    Make money on the upside, stop focusing on the downside. Doom and gloom are for miserable people :D
     
    #82     Dec 18, 2021
  3. current price (47K) -> 53K -> 30K -> 45K -> 20K assuming there is no macro change.
     
    #83     Dec 19, 2021
  4. Ed48

    Ed48

    For BTC, an 80% drawdown is a normal occurrence.

    For the Nasdaq, 75% was exceptional. 2000-02 is the only time it's happened in its 50-year history.
    https://www.macrotrends.net/1320/nasdaq-historical-chart

    For BTC, a comparable statistical outlier might be a drop of 95% eg. $68k -> $4k
     
    #84     Dec 19, 2021
  5. virtusa

    virtusa

    You can visualize it as you which, but you cannot change the fact that:
    • 52% of all addresses have less than $50 value
    • 76% of all addresses have less than $500 value
    Using nice colors and trying to make the presentation as complex as possible trying to gain credibility by impressing people will not change the facts. The more complex the story to proof somethin,g the higher the probability that the story is created to hide reality, not to proof reality.
    You started from the result you want to have and worked backwards to adapt the story to the wanted result. All lawyers and good salesmen do that. Manipulate the truth to get to the wanted result.

    Why are 20 million addresses smaller than $500 if BTC will make all people who have BTC rich?

    Watching from another perspective will not change the real numbers that I post. These numbers stay what they are. Even with your presentation that does not show how the coins are distributed over all the owners. If you would use the value per address for your presentation would look more like this:
    btc.jpg
     
    #85     Dec 19, 2021
  6. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Because if broader markets correct it's highly speculative assets that will drop the most as younger holders/traders have surprise liquidity issues. You can see it already in dozens of IT names if a stock goes down every single day some people will bail.
     
    #86     Dec 19, 2021
  7. Ed48

    Ed48

    Why it might not be wise to put your entire life savings in BTC. :D

    Drawdown....BTC.............................Stock market
    10%..............noise............................pullback
    20%..............several times a year.......rare (considered bear market territory)
    50%..............once a year...................very rare (1972/4, 2008/9 GFC)
    75%..............every couple of years......extremely rare (2000/2 dotcom)
    90%..............???...............................once in a blue moon (1929 Wall St crash)
    100%............:wtf:
     
    #87     Dec 19, 2021
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Try again.

    What Is a Stock Market Crash?
    A stock market crash is a rapid and often unanticipated drop in stock prices. A stock market crash can be a side effect of a major catastrophic event, economic crisis, or the collapse of a long-term speculative bubble. Reactionary public panic about a stock market crash can also be a major contributor to it, inducing panic selling that depresses prices even further.


    Famous stock market crashes ........ include those during the 1929 Great Depression, Black Monday of 1987, the 2001 dotcom bubble burst, the 2008 financial crisis, and during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic.
     
    #88     Dec 19, 2021
    johnarb likes this.
  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    Would you have the courage to buy bitcoin if it goes down 95%?






    "do you know that when #Bitcoin went from $17,000 to $3000 that 86% of the people that owned it at $17,000, never sold it?”:
     
    #89     Dec 19, 2021
    Sprout and SunTrader like this.
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Because often a market goes down because of a lack of buyers, not an overwhelming amount of sellers or vice versa a market goes through the roof because of a lack of sellers, not an overwhelming amount of buyers.

    Something the clueless sheeple naysayer know-it-alls never think of.
     
    #90     Dec 19, 2021
    johnarb likes this.