Bitcoin "Freefall"

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by SunTrader, Dec 15, 2021.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Crypto, just like equities and treasuries and precious metals, are down across the board.

    So it appears "no one" wants anything except Fart NFT'S.
     
    #161     Jan 6, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  2. virtusa

    virtusa

    Still freefall. Now under 43K. I told in november going long was too early.

    btc.jpg



    We lost 35% since nov,16. In 2021 BTC gained 60%, so in a 7 weeks we lost over 50% of the 2021 profits.
     
    #162     Jan 6, 2022
  3. nitrene

    nitrene

    Is BTC, ETH, etc. viable in an inflationary environment? It seems to constantly go down in this market. It doesn't seem to matter if it opens higher or lower it constantly has sellers at the end of the day.
     
    #163     Jan 6, 2022
    • TSLA's BTC holdings are still doing good.
    • As far as I know they bought at about $31,000.
     
    #164     Jan 6, 2022
  4. virtusa

    virtusa

    This chart shows the compounded daily rate of return since 1/1/2011 and the rolling compounded 1 year return for BTC.
    The compounded daily rate of return since 1/1/2011 is going down from +0.7855% to +0.2955. He lost 63% of his compounded return over the years. A strong BTC should stay above this return to show strength, but it is not. Even with a compounded return that dropped by 63%, BTC can almost never break out above the LT return.
    In this period of 3,292 days, 789 days the rolling 1 year return was able to stay above the compounded daily rate of return since 1/1/2011. 2,503 days BTC was to weak to stay above the compounded daily rate of return. So in percentages: 23.87% of all days he was above, and 76.03% of all days he was under.
    People get blinded by the few spikes up and the constant pumping to push BTC upwards. But the numbers show how weak BTC is. The biggest part of the spikes are neutralized by the long and huge drawdowns.
    btc.jpg
     
    #165     Jan 6, 2022
  5. virtusa

    virtusa

    There goes the 40K level...
     
    #166     Jan 10, 2022
  6. What are the chances of buying Bitcoin @ $1,000....will it ever trade down that low? I'm hoping to buy some if it does go that low...what is your opinion?
     
    #167     Jan 10, 2022

    • That was a fast bounce to $41,660.
    • I wonder if it was a dead cat bounce?
     
    #168     Jan 10, 2022

    • Usually when a stock drops that much it is the end for them.
    • I think the same would apply for a crypto currency.
     
    #169     Jan 10, 2022
  7. Ed48

    Ed48

    I imagine there are far too many "believers"/strong hands for it to fall anywhere near that low.

    It would take something monumental to shake the "bitcoin faithful".
     
    #170     Jan 10, 2022