Bitcoin ETF?

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by long, Oct 21, 2023.

  1. I think we are both arguing for bitcoin and the inevitable downfall of fiat. Right now we are just seeing the regulatory committee try to spin the narrative so they don't have egg on their face for completely underestimating bitcoins resilience, and now trying to act like money laundering didn't exist with fiat lol. This is similar to when Canada's Donovan Baily won the 100M final and suddenly the US media started touting Michael Johnson as the fastest man in the world for winning the 200M. (Bailey did not run the 200). The 100M had always been the crown for the fastest man in the world title up until then. Being from Canada and watching the US media try to spin it was hilarious...and pathetic. They have no shame. Anyway Donovan challenged Michael to a 150M race and Johnson pulled up after clearly being beat lol.

    So to bring the metaphor together... Donovon Baily is bitcoin, Michael Johnson is fiat, and the US media is the regulatory committee. The end result will basically be a big nothing burger and everyone will know that Donovan Baily was the fasted man in the world.

     
    Last edited: Nov 18, 2023
    #91     Nov 18, 2023
    themickey likes this.
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Bitcoin ETF Hype Has Wall Street Eyeing $100 Billion Crypto Potential
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-hype-wall-street-110000566.html

    (Bloomberg) -- It’s touted as crypto’s big breakthrough on Wall Street: The imminent arrival of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds that will kick open digital-currency investing to the institutional and retail masses.

    That’s driving the latest hype cycle in the world’s largest token on bets that the likes of wealth managers and financial advisers will finally start to lavish a small portion of their trillion-dollar portfolios on the crypto promise.

    Thank an oncoming swing in the regulatory pendulum. The US Securities and Exchange Commission is expected, possibly by mid-January or sooner, to green-light exchange-traded funds that will buy and sell Bitcoin in the famously tax-efficient and cost-effective ETF wrapper — after a decade of rejecting such applications.

    At first blush, it offers a path to redemption for digital-asset proponents a year after the FTX implosion sparked the industry’s biggest existential crisis and emboldened crypto naysayers who’ve long dominated traditional finance.

    Now with the likely involvement of respectable heavyweights like BlackRock, Fidelity and Invesco, the spot-Bitcoin ETF market has the potential to grow into a $100 billion juggernaut in time, according to Bloomberg Intelligence estimates. Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd., which is working with Invesco Ltd. on an application, held a call earlier this month with roughly 300 investment professionals about allocating to Bitcoin as an ETF debut nears, according to a person familiar with the matter.

    Jeff Janson is one of the people gearing up for the debut. The wealth adviser at Naples, Florida-based Summit Wealth has already received calls from investors, young and old.

    “I feel like we are now staring down the gun barrel of the SEC finally delivering approval,” Janson, whose firm manages about $550 million, said in an interview. “And my belief is that once you have access to it in that type of a wrapper, I think you’re going to have a significant amount of institutional-level interest.”

    That’s the bull case, at least. For many, the post-FTX shockwaves continue to reverberate across the investing world, cooling interest in all things crypto relative to the days of speculative euphoria. After the epic collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s empire, everyday investors have largely been absent from the market. And depsite the recent rally, Bitcoin remains nowhere near its 2021 high.

    Meanwhile, hedge fund managers like Paul Tudor Jones, who previously touted the virtues of digital assets, have stayed quiet of late. Big asset managers have largely declined to spell out the crypto opportunity as they see it. A string of scam incidents, including false claims that Bitcoin ETFs had already been approved and that BlackRock had filed for a fund holding the XRP token — both of which initially pushed prices higher — have put a further dent on the industry’s claims that it’s moving past its sham-laced past.

    Yet one big reason for the newfound optimism has as much to do with incentives built into the money-management industry as it does about the disruptive appeal of digital currencies in the financial system. Right now, only futures-based Bitcoin ETFs are available to investors, and those can come with additional costs that eat into returns. Investors who want pure Bitcoin are getting access via platforms like Coinbase or apps like Robinhood — meaning those who oversee their clients’ portfolio relinquish the ability to directly supervise the flow of crypto investments.

    An ETF is, therefore, a game changer, according to Chuck Cumello, who’s receiving inquiries from millennial investors and high-net-worth individuals about the disruptive potential of a Bitcoin ETF.

    “It would just be simple and easy to place a trade — to have it long in a client’s investment advisory account,” said the president and chief executive officer of Essex Financial Services in Essex, Connecticut.

    Another piece of evidence that institutions might be who ETF issuers are looking to target: Sober-sounding tickers like IBTC and BTCO suggest the products will be aimed at the advisory market.

    “When tickers are more fun, that generally shows their aim is younger retail investors, who in this case aren’t likely to be a big audience for these funds,” Bloomberg Intelligence’s Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart wrote in a note.

    Case in point: Over at Compass Financial Advisors in Fort Wayne, Indiana, Chris Swanson and James Weber build model portfolios, a type of bespoke investment strategy. They often advise their clients on how to allocate a certain percentage toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies.

    For instance, a portfolio might have 55% geared toward equities, another 25% toward bonds and 20% in cash, alternatives and digital assets. After the spot funds launch, the firm’s existing crypto bets — via Bitwise’s Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITQ), for example — would likely flow into the Bitcoin ETFs once available.

    “We want to make sure that we perform well for our clients and we think that this is going to be a differentiator in how we perform versus other advisers,” Swanson said of crypto exposure.

    The word of caution comes from Laila Pence, founder of $2 billion registered investment adviser Pence Wealth Management. Digital-asset interest among younger clients has eased dramatically since the heady pandemic days when all manner of coins were skyrocketing, she says. Plus the stock market is doing well this year too, she reminds them.

    “Why take a risk when the S&P and the Nasdaq have done so well this year, and that’s safer and more reliable?” she said from Newport Beach, California.

    Yet to crypto bulls, there’s a bigger point to make: The ETF will normalize a discredited asset class. Its transparency and liquidity offer a compliance-friendly opportunity for institutional counterparties, potentially unleashing fresh lending and derivatives trades, argues Coinbase.

    “Thus, what an ETF represents for Bitcoin adoption extends beyond the immediate inflows into these products, potentially reshaping the market in entirely unprecedented ways,” it said in a report. “Nevertheless, we think this will take time to unfold.”
     
    #92     Nov 20, 2023
  3. The buzz surrounding Black Rock’s ETF approval isn’t just about the concept itself; it's the potential impact on the market. While Bitcoin ETFs exist, Black Rock’s holds weight due to its colossal presence in the financial world. Its entry could herald wider adoption and institutional legitimacy for cryptocurrencies. Ghenadii2020 (Founder & President of the Snow Leopard Foundation and Manager of IRBIS TOKEN), amid this, sees potential spillover effects: increased investor confidence, market expansion, and possibly heightened interest in alternative tokens beyond Bitcoin. The significance lies not just in the ETF but in the ripple effect it could create across the crypto landscape.
     
    #93     Dec 4, 2023
    long likes this.
  4. jbusse

    jbusse

    Does anyone know if open end mutual funds are included in the ETF proposals? It is pretty common for company retirement accounts (401k and 403b) to restrict investments to open end mutual funds, i.e., no ETFs. For instance, BTCFX (bitcoin futures exposure) is accessible in my 403b, but BITO is not (nor any ETF).
     
    #94     Dec 31, 2023
    johnarb likes this.
  5. Mutual funds really have got a bad rep ever since low MER ETFs have come on the scene. I don't really see many wanting to push a horse carriage back in front of a highway of ICEs.
     
    #95     Dec 31, 2023
  6. long

    long

    After watching BTC trade through the holidays for the first time I’ve concluded that the hedge funds completely control the price movement now. It’s no longer the mobs of individuals driving the price up. BlackRock and friends can push it where they want. I’m still holding what I’ve bought but I’m uncomfortable adding to my position. Rebuttal please.
     
    Last edited: Jan 2, 2024
    #96     Jan 2, 2024
  7. destriero

    destriero


    More like Carl Lewis is fiat and Ben Johnson is crypto.
     
    #97     Jan 2, 2024
    Frederick Foresight likes this.
  8. long

    long

    That was weak
     
    #98     Jan 2, 2024
  9. destriero

    destriero


    Both analogies are stupid. At least mine makes sense.

    What's your average buy/DCA on BTC? Mine is $380.
     
    #99     Jan 2, 2024
    johnarb likes this.
  10. I liked it.Currency on steroids! haha
     
    #100     Jan 2, 2024
    johnarb likes this.