Binary options...better than 50/50 chance ?

Discussion in 'Options' started by rfriend73, Oct 30, 2012.

  1. yeah... my Uncle has equity share in a small servicing firm out of NYC.. played golf with him all day today.. he is in town for some construction risk convention.. alot of my family is in this business.. I said to him today.. well if perceived risk is going up in nyc then premiums can rise.. and in tern you are happy.. he smiled..

    let me ask you this.. why are people so interested in the exotics instead of vanillas? seems to me more like a way that firms can take OTC products or customized/taylored products and make markets in them themselves to retail customers.. exploiting the non fungibility of them. your playing the house in essense.. unless you have some way to exploit model error it seems like a tough game..
     
    #51     Nov 12, 2012
  2. Right.

    I'll amend it to say -

    Unless you have your own pricing model or a separate source that tells you exactly what the price should be, do not trade any financial instrument unless you can get quotes for both buying and selling so that you can see the spread.
     
    #52     Nov 12, 2012
  3. Surprise

    Surprise

    For example now at anyoption the Eur monthly barrier is at 1.284 spot 1.2710 and the Yen monthly barrier is at 80.00 spot 79.49 .
     
    #53     Nov 12, 2012
  4. sle

    sle

    Out of curiosity, has anyone tried the API on NADEX? The really short dated binaries and call spreads do sound interesting if you have an ability to execute automatically - though getting a meaningful size through would be hard.
     
    #54     Nov 17, 2012
  5. I speculate non of these guys on here know anything at that level...
     
    #55     Nov 17, 2012
  6. Let me know when you can replicate a DNT with vanillas.
     
    #56     Nov 17, 2012
  7. kapw7

    kapw7

    Any thoughts on the Saxo quotes? They are from last Sunday, spot 1.2717. I know that they are not available in the US and I am not looking at fx atm, but maybe I should?
     
    #57     Nov 17, 2012
  8. DNT = delta neutral trade?
     
    #58     Nov 17, 2012
  9. #59     Nov 17, 2012
  10. #60     Nov 17, 2012