Panic setting in among Democrats over Joe Biden polling, 'It's even worse than it looks'. There Is No Precedent for How Bad Biden’s Polls Are Right Now https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2023/12/biden-trump-2024-campaign-polls-nyt-siena.html
I understood the implications of the popular vote then and now. What you are missing is that much of the likely voter change has occurred in red states and in areas that are already reliably Republican. We will see but you must do a better job than trying to make things fit into what the general electorate was in past cycles. I am telling you things have changed and continue to change.
No,they have not.The only thing that has changed is you like Biden rather than Trump and so you are trying to make things fit for Biden that you know and stated in the past didn't fit.
A President as unpopular as Biden has never won re election.That has not changed since polling begin and it wont change in 2024.
What Biden doesn't get is he has done nothing on these issues,therefore voters have no reason to vote for him on these issues.
I know some people who were planning on voting for him just for abortion.Once he said he didn't support expanding The Supreme Court after the Roe decision every one of them said they would no longer be voting for him. "Never underestimate Joe's ability to fuck things up"-Barack Obama