Swing states are going to be tight. Remember Trump won 3 states by 80,000 votes. Don’t expect large polling swings in these states going forward.
Reminder gwb----Hillary won 4 states by 93k total in 2016 and 1 of those was less than 3k. She was just that close to almost not winning.
Are you trying to claim that Trump and his surrogates (PACS, etc.) are not spending money on ads in swing states. I assure you there are many ads both digital and on the air in MN focused on the riots coming from Trump supporters. Let's take a look at just one campaign. Tom Cotton releases ad in Wisconsin and Minnesota warning 'violent mob' wants Joe Biden elected https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...a-warning-violent-mob-wants-joe-biden-elected Can you find a single Trump supporting ad playing in swing states in the past two weeks that does not bring up the riots?
Yes... the 2016 election was close. A few weeks ago the 2020 election was Biden's to lose he had over a 6% lead in nearly every swing state. That has now changed and the races in swing states is much closer and the election can potentially go either way in the electoral vote.
So Cotton is Trump's surrogate now? Trump's campaign isn't running ads in MN, Tom Cotton has nowhere the reach of national campaign with his chump change ads. Also these kind of dishonest ads are nothing new, Biden is spending 45 million on his ad, Cotton will be lucky to get to a million.
A new poll from Fox News shows Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump in three key states. The surveys were all conducted following both parties’ national conventions and the unrest in Kenosha, Wisconsin following the police shooting of Jacob Blake. In Arizona, Biden leads Trump 49 to 40. In North Carolina, Biden leads 50 to 46. And in Wisconsin, Biden leads 50 to 42. https://www.foxnews.com/official-po...-tops-trump-among-likely-voters-in-key-states
Interesting results. We can add it into what 538 is showing for several recent polls in each of these states and see what the new average polling differential is in each state.
Trump trails Biden by 5 percentage points in the state on the issue of “policing and criminal justice.”