Biden, Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg, Harris lead Trump in Georgia: Poll

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Tony Stark, Nov 13, 2019.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    While most eyes are on Texas and Arizona turning blue GA is turning too


    https://thehill.com/homenews/campai...ttigieg-harris-lead-trump-in-georgia-poll?amp

    Biden, Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg, Harris lead Trump in Georgia: Poll

    President Trump may be in for a tough reelection fight in Georgia in 2020, according to a poll released on Wednesday by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that shows him trailing five of his potential Democratic rivals.

    Former Vice President Joe Biden holds the biggest lead over Trump, besting him 51 percent to 43 percent in a hypothetical matchup, according to the AJC poll.

    Four other candidates - Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) - hold narrower leads over Trump, ranging from 4 points in Sanders's case to a single point in Harris's case. Warren and Buttigieg each lead Trump by 3 points in hypothetical matchups.

    The survey, conducted for the AJC by the University of Georgia's School of Public and International Affairs, may be overly optimistic for Democrats. Nearly 62 percent of those who responded to the poll were college educated, a disproportionate sample compared to the state's actual makeup.

    What's more, 43.3 percent of respondents said they voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election compared to 41.7 percent who said they voted for Trump. In fact, Trump carried Georgia by roughly 5 points that year.

    Still, the poll is likely to be seen as a welcome sign by Democrats, who argue that Georgia has become more competitive as new residents flock to the state and infrequent voters become more engaged. The 2020 Democratic presidential primary in Georgia will be held on March 24.

    A Democratic presidential candidate has not won Georgia in a general election since 1992, when Bill Clinton narrowly beat then-President George H.W. Bush in the state.



    The survey shows Trump's approval in Georgia underwater, with roughly 54 percent of respondents disapproving of his job in office and 44 percent approving.

    But the president's approval among Republican voters appears to be on the rise. Eighty-seven percent of Republicans surveyed said they either strongly or somewhat approve of Trump's job in the White House - a 4-point rise from a similar poll conducted in April.

    The AJC-University of Georgia poll surveyed 1,028 voters by telephone from Oct. 30 to Nov. 8 and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
     
  2. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Schwab just announced they are moving their HQ from San Fran to Dallas after 50 years in CA. Got sick of the taxes.

    Watch out Lone Star State... the lefties are coming.

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    U-Haul Rates Suggest Migration from California to Texas Is Accelerating
    When relative demand is significantly different there's a huge imbalance in truck inventories, which leads to the dynamic pricing.

    [​IMG]

    Economics U-Haul Migration Interstate Migration California Texas Population
    [​IMG]

    Here’s an update above of my periodic comparisons of one-way U-Haul rates for a 26-foot truck going in two opposite directions for matched cities. As can be seen, there is a huge premium for trucks leaving California for Texas and a huge discount for trucks leaving Texas for California. I’ve argued before U-Haul’s one-way truck rental rates are market-based to reflect relative demand and relative supply.

    Pricing Reflects Relative Demand and Supply
    In California there’s a relatively low supply of trucks available and a relatively high demand for trucks destined for Texas; in Texas there’s a relatively high supply of trucks and a relatively low demand for trucks going to California. Therefore, U-Haul charges three to four times more for one-way truck rentals going from San Francisco or LA to Houston or Dallas than vice-versa based on what must be a huge net outflow of trucks leaving California (leading to low inventory) and a net inflow of trucks arriving in Texas (leading to high inventory).

    When relative demand is significantly different there's a huge imbalance in truck inventories, which leads to the dynamic pricing.

    In an ideal world for U-Haul, it would likely prefer to have a close balance in the flows of one-way truck rentals between any two major cities (or states) to maintain balanced truck inventories in both locations, and would probably then charge the about the same one-way rental rates for trucks going in either direction. But when relative demand is significantly different, that’s difference is reflected in a huge imbalance in truck inventories (over-supply in one location, under-supply in the other), which then leads to the dynamic, market-based pricing displayed above.

    The last time I did the same analysis as above was about in 2016 and the ratios for the same matched cities were much smaller, 2.2 to 2.4 to one, suggesting that the outbound migration from California to Texas as reflected in one-way U-Haul truck rental rates must have accelerated over the last three years.
     
  3. As a major Cowboys fan I have visited Dallas and they are building quite a lovely suburb in Frisco and surrounding areas. DALLAS is growing a developing a lot of communities so I can see a business taking advantage of tax incentives and relocating to Dalls suburbs.

    Still a little too country bit a great alternative to Houston and good for CA businesses given the major airport and lower cost of living.
     
  4. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Yep,and they continue voting democrat:D:D:D:D:D