Biden Has 13-Point Lead Over Trump As President's Job Approval Slides

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Tony Stark, Aug 7, 2019.

  1. smallfil

    smallfil

    Biden has put his hands on young children. I don't know if you saw the video but, in one case, he put his hands on her chest area and you can clearly see, the child elbowing him hard to get away from him! If Joe Biden is a better human being than Donald Trump then, I need to get my head examined! Not even close! I will take Donald Trump every day of the week!
     
    #21     Aug 8, 2019
  2. You know this thread belongs in jokes.
     
    #22     Aug 8, 2019
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Trump doesn't find the issue funny


    https://politicalwire.com/2019/07/26/trump-slams-fox-news-after-poll-shows-him-losing/

    Trump Slams Fox News After Poll Shows Him Losing

    July 26, 2019 at 11:35 am

    President Trump renewed his attacks on Fox News, complaining that the network’s pollsters weren’t favorable enough to him, Politicoreports.

    “The poll he appears to be referencing shows the president losing a handful of hypothetical matchups against 2020 frontrunners. The national survey found that Trump would lose to Joe Biden by 10 points, and to Sen. Bernie Sanders by 6 points. It showed him beating both Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris, though, by a slim 1-point margin, within the poll’s margin of error.”


     
    #23     Aug 8, 2019
  4. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/trumps-state-by-state-approval-ratings-should-scare-him.html

    vision 2020 Aug. 12, 2019
    Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him

    By Ed Kilgore


    [​IMG]

    There has been a lot of discussion in political circles about Donald Trump’s job-approval ratings, what they portend, and Trump’s Electoral College strategy for 2020, which doesn’t necessarily require a popular-vote plurality. But in the end, of course, the conjunction of the Electoral College with Trump’s state-by-state popularity is where the deal will go down.

    The online polling firm Civiqs has published a new set of state-by-state job-approval ratings for Trump as of August 11, and it shows how the president’s overall standing (a 43 percent approval rating nationally, which happens to match the current RealClearPolitics polling average) might translate into electorate votes. It’s not a pretty picture for the president, to put it mildly.

    Civiqs shows the president’s net approval ratios being underwater (i.e., negative) in 10 states he carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. If that were to represent how the 2020 elections turn out, Trump would have a booming 119 electoral votes. And it’s not as though he’s on a knife’s edge between victory and defeat in all these Trump 2016 states where he’s doing poorly: He’s underwater by 12 points in Pennsylvania, 11 in Michigan, and nine in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. And there’s virtually no indication that states that narrowly went for Clinton in 2016 are trending in Trump’s direction: His approval ratios are minus 18 in Colorado, minus 15 in Minnesota, minus 12 in Nevada, and minus 27 in New Hampshire. These are, by the way, polls of registered voters, not just “adults,” so they should be a relatively sound reflection of the views of the electorate.

    In case you just don’t trust this particular pollster, the other publicly available survey of state-by-state presidential job approval is from Morning Consult, and its latest numbers (as of July) are pretty similar. They show Georgia and Texas as positive for Trump, and North Carolina as very close. But all the other “battleground states” are quite the reach for the incumbent.

    If you credit these polls at all, Trump’s reelection will require (1) a big late improvement in his approval ratings, which is possible but unlikely based on long-standing patterns during his polarizing presidency; (2) a campaign that succeeds in making the election turn on theoretical fears about his opponent rather than actual fears about a second Trump term, which won’t be easy either; (3) a big Republican turnout advantage, which is less likely among the larger presidential electorate than it was in 2018; or (4) some diabolical ability to thread the needle despite every contrary indicator, which superstitious Democrats fear for obvious reasons.

    If the fourth scenario — a win against all the evidence — is Trump’s best hope for reelection, he’s the one who needs to experience some fear and trembling heading toward 2020. If anything, there’s evidence that he is likely to undershoot rather than overshoot his approval ratings as the sitting president of a country whose direction lacks any kind of public confidence. Beyond that, even those who succeed by selling their souls to the devil don’t have the collateral to pull that off twice.
     
    #24     Aug 14, 2019
  5. Pretty irrelevant before the Presidential candidate debates.
     
    #25     Aug 14, 2019
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    12 points underwater


    [​IMG]
     
    #26     Aug 14, 2019
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Debates aren't changing many minds my friend.
     
    #27     Aug 14, 2019
  8. The debates may not change many minds, but it may affect turnout, If the Democratic candidate is Joe Biden and he dies on stage (again).
     
    #28     Aug 14, 2019
  9. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    2004 Bush +3.9

    2012 Obama +1.3

    Current Trump -11.8

    No president has won reelection with a disapproval higher than approval.
     
    #29     Aug 14, 2019
  10. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Trump will be driving democrat turnout as he did in 2018.Bidens black VP will drive black voter turn out like it was for Obama.
     
    #30     Aug 14, 2019