I want you to take the palm of your right hand and smack yourself in the forehead with it VERY hard. Putting your hopes on the demographic that voted for Trump twice and republican all but 2 times since the 1950's must be more of that smart Democrat politico thinking you were referring to earlier.
I dont know where they are getting those numbers.The 2 polls I posted show black approval in the 50s,heres the most recent from Pew on 6-22 also in the 50s
Also way way down with Hispanics,another important Dem group.No problem though.With Black and Hispanics approval way down they can depend on the group that voted Trump twice and republican all but twice since the 1950's.
36 approval with whites 27 % rural approval 41% Suburban 39% approval with women,with most of that approval from black women. These numbers suggest those smart Dem politicos not put their hopes on suburban/rural white women
You’re trying to have a general election a year and five months ahead of time. Those numbers will change when there is a Republican nominee. It’s not about hopes it’s about gauging the electorate.
Bidens net approval is double digits underwater.No first term president has come back from that from this point to election day in the history of polling. The worst a first term president who won re election has been at this point is -0.8,Biden is - 11.6
Considering Desantis and Trump are both MAGA republicans their voters will likely vote for the other and that would put them ahead.
I forgot to add that betting oddmakers make their odds with the goal of getting equal action on both sides,not who they actually think will win.