nice blog wiking. I have added it to my bookmarks and will check once a week. It's nice to see a 'thinking' blog as opposed to one that just says I am buying this or that and here are some charts. keep up the good work! Abobtrader ---- I have recently started my own trading blog at http://abobtrader.blogspot.com overview - I take a cross market approach, looking at everything from equities, fx, fixed income and commodities. I am posting at least twice a week, and will try to steer clear of the bread-and-butter financial market commentary you can find on bloomberg or reuters. Also, to hold me accountable in some way, I have a simple portfolio of trades whose performance I am tracking. I will also be posting my real money results from start 2006.
Check out http://www.protradersmarket.com/blog.php I post charts and analysis every day of the ZN future. See for yourself re: the calls made the past two days. The setups can be applied to any market. Feedback is welcome. Jason
In todays example on the 2 min when you are saying that you are buying the dip below the 9 EMA with the slow stoch rising, are you buying once it crosses back above the 9EMA for your entry price? If not how are you determining where in the dip to get in since dips can vary greatly in size? What are you willing to risk on a trade for a stop?
Downtickboy Since it is on a 2min chart, I am literally getting in once price crosses below the 9EMA (not waiting for it to cross back up) in anctipation of the "trend" (short-term albeit) continuing, and the profit target is minimum three ticks. As far as risk, I am getting out if it goes against me one tick, I get back in if the setup still looks good. Sometimes, I lose one tick, make 4, or lose one, lose one, make 4. and sometimes the setup doesn't work because the market turns. but usually, this is a really good one...
zn trader, How do you determine the timeframe over which your volume histogram should be build? Is it by trial and error until you get a smooth (Normal or Poisson) distribution?
Steve I keep connecting days together for the vol. histogram, and notice which point of controls (or longest lines) keep showing up. I combine as many days as I can (say 2-3 months to see the bigger picture/distribution), but I like to go with around 4 weeks of market action to get levels. I also check each days vol. histogram as well. Check out the book mind over markets if you haven't already, it is really great in teaching market profile/volume and/or price histogram
Thanks for the response. When you say one tick risk is that 1 half tick or one full tick against you and a target of a minimum of 3 half ticks or 3 full tick.