best length for selling a weekly option?

Discussion in 'Options' started by shMark, Feb 10, 2024.

  1. cesfx

    cesfx

    Using which values?
    $ vs %?
     
    #31     Feb 12, 2024
  2. ironchef

    ironchef

    Am I?

    Maybe I am just a pretender, living out my fantasy on ET.

    Your guess?
     
    #32     Feb 12, 2024
  3. shMark

    shMark

    Ok, I will give my guess. You make money, and have fun, but don't necessarily do better than just holding VOO.
     
    #33     Feb 12, 2024
  4. ironchef

    ironchef

    Good guess.

    Benchmark is QQQ, some years better some years worse, overall better.
     
    #34     Feb 13, 2024
  5. 2rosy

    2rosy

    change the premium to std devs.
     
    #35     Feb 13, 2024
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  6. Quanto

    Quanto

    So, something like solving the BSM eq for z by using the Premium, and then applying some probabilistic calcs like p(z) and calcing GE (or LE) etc.
    Yep, good idea. Thx.
     
    Last edited: Feb 13, 2024
    #36     Feb 13, 2024
  7. shMark

    shMark

    Is there an equation you can provide where the variables are easy to find?
     
    #37     Feb 13, 2024
  8. shMark

    shMark

    That's very impressive.
     
    #38     Feb 13, 2024
  9. 2rosy

    2rosy

    variables are
    premium
    volatility
    underlying price

    find what are the chances there will be a move beyond premium. scale for time. I am not referring to anything difficult. This is what a 14 or 15 year old learns in school
     
    #39     Feb 13, 2024
    Quanto likes this.
  10. Quanto

    Quanto

    Is DTE not needed?
     
    Last edited: Feb 13, 2024
    #40     Feb 13, 2024