Ben Bernanke Bonds and the greenBack

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by gharghur2, Nov 8, 2005.

  1. Dollar update...do we top out at 94 or 96?

    I think the FED has the answer. When the FED skips one increase, look for an intermediate term top thereafter...
     
    #11     Nov 17, 2005
  2. The $$$ continues it's year long uptrend.

    Vacillating here around the 92 pivot, once cleared 94 next target.
     
    #12     Nov 28, 2005
  3. look no further than gold futures to gauge sentiments for any currency.............

    look at the long term chart and meditate
     
    #13     Nov 28, 2005
  4. Do you mean each currency in relation to gold?

    I have found, over the years, that the currency that provides the best relative return is always the currency of choice. i.e. rates continue to climb on a regular basis here, so the Dollar keeps climbing.
     
    #14     Nov 29, 2005
  5. The Dollar appears to be stuck at the 92 pivot.
    But it does look like it's preparing to move higher again, as long as it hold 90.80.

    Any thoughts?
     
    #15     Dec 10, 2005
  6. gold is now money....despite central bankers efforts to dictate otherwise
     
    #16     Dec 10, 2005
  7. I would have to disagree with you.

    Not even in the roaring bull market to $800/oz was Gold considered money. It was just a hedge against inflation.

    Gold has been depressed for over 20 years. And it would appear, with the rise in Crude Oil. Gold is adjusting its fair value, and being used as a hedge against a potential of runaway Crude prices. It's still a precious metal.
     
    #17     Dec 10, 2005
  8. I recall December 2004 - on my chart it looks to be the bottom or close to the bottom - I picked up a copy of a financial magazine somebody left in the lounge. I vaguely remember it was Business Week magazine. Warren Buffet's picture was on the cover. The feature story was about how Mr. Buffett placed a big bet on selling dollars and buying foreign currencies. Mr. Buffett is a very smart guy and controls a pig pile of money. The problem I have is that if the biggest of the big guys buys, even if his reasoning is sound the price might go down. Why? Because there is nobody bigger than he is to buy the currency at a higher price and return a profit to Mr. Buffett.

    Maybe when I see a Fortune magazine with George Soros's picture on the cover and a feature article about how Mr. Soros is buying dollars and selling euro then I might witness the top of the U.S. dollar.
     
    #18     Dec 10, 2005
  9. interesting......

    American economists are really confused when the dollar is rising and so is gold....screws everything up

    when gold rises in relation to all currencies...it really screws things up

    when you own gold, I believe you own an call option on all paper, regardless of origin...

    something bankers dont like...............
     
    #19     Dec 10, 2005
  10. #20     Dec 10, 2005