Beating the Market with Money managment

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by 220volt, Nov 30, 2006.

  1. 220volt,
    you really should buy Van Tharp's book to understand why this is a bad idea.
    As mentioned this isnt risk management at all. You are ignoring the losing streak, where the distribution with a tight stop will be like -1%, -1%, -1%, -1%, -1%.
    Then to get your 3% a month you have to take on more risk, then it spirals.
     
    #31     Dec 9, 2006
  2. Keep a log and over time see what averaging up or down has resulted in. Don't forget those that turn into long holds that you lose interest and margin interest on.

    I've won with averaging on a losing position and I have lost more often than not. Looking through the trade log journal, the odds are against averaging and I've used that as a lesson. Time will tell.
     
    #32     Dec 9, 2006
  3. ecritt

    ecritt

    Try averaging down on the Nikkei from 1990 to current. Hint: it didn't recover.
     
    #33     Dec 9, 2006
  4. asap

    asap


    Averaging down is dumb however pyramiding is very clever since it changes your approach to risk. It goes like, if your optimal position size is $1000 then instead of entering a $1000 trade each time, start off with one fifth or so size and then add to it until it reaches $1000. You're actually averaging down or up your entry price, but, above all, this will allow to soften your equity curve and thus reduce drawdown.

    In my opinion, money management is in fact the most important aspect of successful long term trading. I have a thread on this, which includes a trading simulation based on random trading signals and solid money management, to illustrate this point. In case anyone is interested, here is the link:

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&thread=81984
     
    #34     Dec 9, 2006
  5. Nattdog

    Nattdog

    wow, some real bad advice here, haha. The tyro's are out in full force with their bad advice. If advice is followed please have a tourniquet handy!
     
    #35     Dec 9, 2006
  6. To start off ; the title of the thread is
    WRONG.


    You don't beat the market with MM but
    with a strategy that has an edge that
    produces positive results.

    If you have a strategy, you gonna apply
    MM in function of the risk/reward figures
    of your strategy; the better the risk/reward numbers, the more agressive
    your MM (aka how much to risk an any
    one trade) may be.

    MM is VERY important, even with a good
    strategy you can lose if you risk too
    much.

    Read Van Tharp's book on this issue.
     
    #36     Dec 9, 2006
  7. Neet

    Neet

    Perhaps you could enlight us with some wisdom or debate the supposed bad advice.
     
    #37     Dec 9, 2006

  8. the question is, did it "bounce" enough at any point to turn a loser into a break even/ winner? not that it didn't recover. markets simply do not move in a straight line in any direction--
     
    #38     Dec 9, 2006
  9. The answer is:

    Money Management is optimizing the equity curve.
     
    #39     Dec 10, 2006

  10. always, sometimes, or never??

    :D
     
    #40     Dec 10, 2006