Also so nicely forgotten here (unanimously) is: “I made my money by getting out early” “When great market news hits the front page of The NY Times, SELL” “When even clerks, bartenders, shoeshine boys etc. are saying how easy it is to make money in the stock market, SELL” Aha! But what do I say.? . . Europe dragged America into the Great Depression in 1929. It’s happening again. Take a look at the DAX, FTSE, stoxx 50 but keep your eyes closed when you look at Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal. God help us! Then also note that when unemployment is super low and everything in the Economy is hunky dory, RECESSION is right around the corner. Now throw in the lambasting the US Dollar is going to resume giving Asian and world currencies. Oh my! It’s just too much! SHORT is the way to be. .
The DSI (Daily Sentiment Index) ..... 2k/mo. Subscription Newsletter writers’ SENTIMENT Index University of Michigan Sentiment Index US govt. Sentiment Index and the biggest, baddest Sentiment Index known or unknown to MAN. =. VIX = ultra-complacency to the power of 5 =. Off the charts = LaLaLand
But of course I have the best one of all, sampling is low but it’s good - all my investor trader associates, financial news and programs such as Yahoo, CNBC, Kim Eng, Asian outlets etc. gives me a decent enough sentiment feel. ET is 99%+ bullish to the point that it’s impossible for a market reversal to occur Do your homework - go back to the ET period 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009. .... nobody here or at T2W or anywhere else saw the real estate crash or the stock market crash NOR saw the 2009 bottom. NOBODY! Why? Because the Herd cannae see nothin coming. It takes an individual who can stand ALONE without the warm sustenance of the crowd to call the turn - right or wrong. Women seem to like this kind of fella, so no complaints.
You don’t get it? This Bear Market is the greatest of all time even eclipsing that of 1700s, 1929, 1966-73 and 2008. It’s THE Bear Market that is an Empire Buster that will kick out the U.K./USA from the driver seat and usher in the replacement Empire. I want to be a part of this turn in calling it, trading it and posting my results for all to see. If right it’s a big accomplishment. If wrong I’ll be out millions. Worth it big time to me.
Not according to these guys.... https://www.schwab.com/active-trader/insights/content/the-active-trader-market-outlook
Agree. But do not use this and have never checked them out. I stick with the ones mentioned above as I’ve run them on my charts at major turns going back as much as their data alllows.
This one from CNBC from Jan 2019. Have not yet seen a more recent one but it should be any day now. Scroll down and especially note the zeros in the many charts they show. Stock market negative outlook = 0% . . https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/07/maj...ish-for-2019-cnbc-halftime-report-survey.html
On the subject of sentiment stateside, one of the super few = rare bear market callers/traders is CNBC guest aka Chart Master Carter Worth (he also called the 2008 crash). Hardly anybody in my corner but Carter Worth. I don’t need agreement but this gent is stellar. https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/...se-are-the-key-levels-to-watch-in-the-sp.html