Battle between Bulls vs Bears: ETF hedge strategy

Discussion in 'ETFs' started by KCalhoun, Jun 3, 2020.

  1. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Missed dust, disappointed I missed oil today, OXY APA nice runners

    Sold most TNA SPXL to lock small profit, put in bounce long orders TVIX 110 112 114 plus SDOW, in case market drops midday or eod
     
    #31     Jun 5, 2020
    1957may10 likes this.
  2. I missed dust too, but bought gold (barrick) at almost today’s min.
    I’m soooo happy for mine ccl, kss, m . Sold NCLH to yearly ....
    These three I will hold for now, great I did not sell them yesterday.
    Bought some PTON.
     
    #32     Jun 5, 2020
    KCalhoun likes this.
  3. %%
    A sideways/slop/chop trend will chop profit to pieces, especially leveraged.
    Actually being on the right side of the main trend ,with a 3 x etf is much better than options. NO expiry date on 2 or 3x etfs, generally speaking...…………………………………………………..
    IN other words a sideways chop slop trend-- better off in a cash ETF, with dividends. I have traded soxs but not so much + its below $6 now/LOL
    Gaps tend to profit in a good trend/on the side of the main trend/usually;
    usually don't gap against me in an etf. They are a risk + even more so in a single stock.
     
    #33     Jun 28, 2020
    KCalhoun likes this.
  4. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Excellent points. I've learned that the hard way. In choppy markets the 2x 3x ETF premkt gaps frequently reverse direction after 9:30.

    I usually start buying minor gaps up starting premkt 7AM but that hasn't worked well recently in inverses. Oftentimes their lod pivot best time to enter is after 10:30
     
    Last edited: Jun 28, 2020
    #34     Jun 28, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. %%
    Tech etfs are still strong/200dma;
    but many summer months in DIA +IWM= those tend to be weak, summer months........................................................Have to be a quick trader to profit in sqqq/ i seldom trade that one/LOL
     
    #35     Jun 30, 2020
  6. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Good points.... best 2 hedge pairs today are gold GDX/DUST and small caps TNA/TZA
     
    #36     Jun 30, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  7. %%
    TNA is up today/nice
    but down long term+ near bottom don channel + top tail on monthly charts.Dow ran up so much yesterday i may have stalled ?? UDOW is not even @50% level on 52 weeks chart; i made a bit off a udow trade around $50, but it trended so sloppy/LOL.
    I liked DDM better/but i happened to catch the timing better...........................................................
     
    #37     Jun 30, 2020
    KCalhoun likes this.
  8. bjt

    bjt

    I finally mastered a strategy similar to this and was able to double my account in 2 months. What will kill you is that first in first out rule. I was doing it with the nasdaq100 in an account in the UK where there is no fifo rule. Take prifits when the market gives it to you in either position, let the lossses ride until market turns. I'm thinking of trying it with etfs in the U.S. Can I ask which broker you use?
     
    #38     Jul 1, 2020
    murray t turtle and KCalhoun like this.
  9. %%
    Summer rally is stronger than i figured;
    good exit from TQQQ. Most years XLK does better than QQQ...................................
     
    #39     Jul 2, 2020
  10. %%
    That could work well;
    except where one side is a real good trender. Example= ERX + ERY ;one of those may never turn well.............................................................................. May work well with QQQ........
     
    #40     Jul 2, 2020