Barrons Game- Therapeutic Edition*

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by stonedinvestor, Mar 4, 2007.

  1. Hello Dr Gropewell- thank you for seeing me on such short notice.
    No problem did you bring a newspaper like I asked?
    Yes I brought Barrons.
    Barrons? That's interesting- usually people bring the Times or something.
    Well I'm not most people.
    Ok lets get started. I like to have my patients just lay back on the couch pick up the paper and tell me what bothers you, what get's your attention, what turns you on. Ok?
    I'll try.

    > On the cover a bull and bear stare at each other.
    Do you like animals?
    I like Bulls.
    Not bears? Interesting go on.
    It says despite a 4% slide stick with stocks.
    And what does page 2 say?
    It's a bear market according to Alan Ableson.
    Did he say that?
    He said it just might be.
    Full of conviction this man Ableson?
    He goes both ways!
    He does? Interesting. Go on.
    Well Doug Ramsey is quoted he's from Leuthold Research. He says virtually no distribution from smart money on stocks- that bothers me.
    I had been spotting distribution days myself- if it wasn't the smart money it was mom and pop beating me a seasoned investor out the door. That's not good.
    You don't like being associated with the average person do you?
    Could the average person afford this session?
    Go on please.
    Tues the 6th. Has the revision to non farm productivity-- worried about that.
    Most people it's the future, war with Iran, greenhouse gasses... with you it's productivity in the workplace.
    Yes as a non worker it is very important to me that everyone else be productive in the work place.
    Tell me more.
    Well what's confusing is historically after one day big drops in the stockmarket the returns have been great shortly thereafter. Since 1979 the market has dropped 3% or more 38 times. The average return in the next 60 days is 6.9% near 7%! and it happened in 31 of 38 cases.
    That sounds good.
    But historically these big drops comes at the end of dragged out declines not in the beginning.
    What does that infer to you?
    Maybe it wasn't a correction at all. Maybe in order to go higher stocks had to be artificially roiled to spike sentiment indicators and wash out complacency. The financial stocks though... there is real trouble there I fear.
    What about growth stocks?
    Well there's a guy interviewed Joe McNay is his name he gives a bunch of dangerous growth plays- almost seems a misfit for this issue.
    Do you like any of them?
    No. Maybe Focus Media & Vertex Pharm that's it.
    Well two is better than none. I get the feeling I have to repair a relationship between you and stocks.
    Well we need to - for your sake.
    My sake?
    Yes your payment will be in the form of a stock pick derived from this issue of Barrons!
    Yes on page M5 in fact there is a mention of Itron
    What tron?
    ITRI> they have made a $1.6 Billion acquisition and it has largely been missed by investors because of the big decline. I like ITRI already and this merger with the privately held Actaris from Luxembourg will create a global leader in next generation meter reading technology. No 1 for electric meters. No 2 for gas. And no 4 for water. This will be my payment to you.
    I have to go now.
    Thank you for seeing me and thank you for
    playing the B*A*R*R*O*N*S G*A*M*E*- therapeutic edition!
  2. topdown


    "Dr. Gropewell" - gotta love it.

    Stoney - I must tell ya, I was worried about you after I searched for the B*A*R*R*O*N*S post on Saturday to no avail. After reading the post, I understand that you have not been well and I am glad you sought, and apparently found, some professional help. I myself spent most of the past 48 hours drifting between the bottle and the bowl in search of some profound wisdom. Well..... I am sure I didn't find any wisdom (in fact I probably lost a few cells of gray matter).

    I do like your ITRI pick (you got lucky - I suspect you had your eye on that one "pre-Barron's"). Looks to me like that ITRI should jump pretty quickly when this correction is over. I also like McNay's pick of FEIC and I am sure our friend BioBottom would like the chart of PCYC (Insider Buys).

    But damn, this market is scary. I am placing all individual picks on my watch list for now and am going to try to pair trade the volatility with the QID / QLD. My gameplan is to buy both at market close. Sell the first one at <1%>, and hope to get a run to 2%+ on the other.

    My head hurts.......
  3. S2007S




    two of the most volatile ETFs.

    Own QID right now....
    :D :D

    may buy a small amount of QLD at 75 tomorrow, if it gets there for a minor bounce.
  4. xxxskier

    xxxskier Guest

    nice thread.
  5. Itron strong all day.> ITRI Itron Inc (NASDAQ GS) 62.37 +0.87 ( +1.41%)
    Open 61.44 High 63.88 Low 60.66 Volume 759,554

    Check that high of the day out! There was such an easy one dollar day trade here today starting just a little after 11:00. But it's sad the way everything is rolling over. I hope that Doc acted quick!