Baron's Crypto Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Baron, Oct 5, 2021.

  1. NoahA

    NoahA

    Yes, so maybe I shouldn't say that I expect a dollar to be worth absolutely nothing, but just that the value will very quickly drop in relation to all the hard assets, so that they do some sort of peg to protect the currency. I honestly really have no idea here, but when you look at debt outstanding, interest rates, expense of interest payments for the government, inflation, or even deflation, its not difficult to see that something big will break.
     
    #521     Oct 5, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  2. deaddog

    deaddog

    I know this doesn't apply to BTC but isn't proof of stake a debt mechanism.

    If BTC becomes the currency of choice won't people be lending it out to earn interest? What ever currency governments use, they will have to borrow to fund spending on long term infrastructure.
     
    #522     Oct 5, 2022
    virtusa likes this.
  3. NoahA

    NoahA

    Is it so crazy to propose that the government can only spend what they collect? It gets tricky of course, and I'm no expert here, but unlimited borrowing is what got us into this mess so proposing borrowing again has to be done differently.
     
    #523     Oct 5, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  4. deaddog

    deaddog

    It's a little crazy to propose that. It's like buying a house. Major infrastructure projects couldn't be paid for out of revenue.
    That's what I mean when I say that no one has really thought this thru. Try to imagine a world without credit and a limited amount of currency.
    How about the retail consumer. Who is going to give her credit to buy a new car?
     
    #524     Oct 6, 2022
    VicBee and virtusa like this.
  5. NoahA

    NoahA

    Sure, and if you read enough Bitcoin books, you learn about the history of money. I especially like the era of free banking, where a bank only loaned out money they took in. There was no fractional reserve banking, and you knew the bank manager and paying back your debt was a matter of pride.

    The problem these days isn't the lending, its the leverage, its the lack of transparency, its the lack of a ceiling.
     
    #525     Oct 6, 2022
    SunTrader likes this.
  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    BTC at the time of the post: 22.5K (late July)

    BTC today: 20.1K (early Oct)

    3 months ATM premium for calls: 2.6K
     
    #526     Oct 6, 2022
    virtusa likes this.
  7. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    no. Every crypto boy I know values bitcoin in terms of lambos.

    Today it’s 20 coins to a lambo. It used to be 7.
     
    #527     Oct 6, 2022
    beginner66, virtusa and Sekiyo like this.
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    + 1

    The Mystery of Banking by Murray Rothbard.
     
    #528     Oct 6, 2022
  9. grabien

    grabien

    How do you describe the situation now?
     
    #529     Oct 6, 2022
  10. grabien

    grabien

    Is it a good idea to invest in crypto license in your opinion?
    I am reading about it here at the moment https://rue.ee/ but still don't understand how much cash can you actually make per months? What does it take to make your trading website successful?
     
    #530     Oct 17, 2022