Baron's Crypto Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Baron, Oct 5, 2021.

  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    *sniffs* What is that smell?

    Why, it's the smell of the birthing of a brand new crypto addict. Johnarb will be so pleased. :)
     
    #181     Jan 4, 2022
  2. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    So I woke up this morning to read this:

    Bitcoin Falls Below $43K, Leads to $800M in Crypto Liquidations
    Over 87% of losses arose from crypto traders in long positions.

    In the last 24 hours, crypto futures worth over $812 million were liquidated as bitcoin broke its $46,000 support level and fell to $43,000, according to data from analytics tool Coinglass.

    The keyword here is "liquidated", meaning that traders were essentially forced out of their positions due to their use of leverage in the form of margin.

    I always look for certain keywords when I assess what's going on, and liquidated is one of those that's like a gift from the universe. The bottom line is that when traders are forced out of their positions in a situation like this, WE BUY WHAT THEY ARE BEING FORCED OUT OF.

    I'm going to buy $5k worth of BTC here in a couple of minutes.
     
    #182     Jan 6, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  3. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    Ok, confirming the fill for 0.1167BTC @ $42,794 USD
     
    #183     Jan 6, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  4. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    And by the way, if you're going to be trading in crypto or pretty much anything with volatility like this and you have a perspective on this stuff longer than a couple of weeks, please DO NOT USE LEVERAGE IN THE FORM OF MARGIN. Why? Because your position can be liquidated at any time by your broker/exchange if certain conditions are met and the last thing you want is to be forced to sell when you really didn't want to.

    If you're going to use leverage, please use it in the form of an uncorrelated asset, meaning that you're borrowing against something else entirely, and that asset is not tied in any way to the performance of what you're trading. That could be a home equity loan or line of credit, a loan against your business, a personal loan from any of the gazillion online sources out there, etc. When you borrow to trade from these sources, at least your trading positions are not at risk from getting liquidated because the value of those positions are not getting monitored every minute of the day from some risk manager like they are with your brokerage or exchange.
     
    #184     Jan 6, 2022
    yc47ib, Magna and johnarb like this.
  5. this is not a trading advice.
    Will it erase all of 2021 gains and trade for a year in low volatility environment to frustrate everyone before mounting another advance or will it march higher.I am more inclined to the former than the latter.

    Screen Shot 2022-01-05.png
     
    #185     Jan 6, 2022
  6. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    Aside from the keyword indicator I mentioned earlier, another indicator I like to use is the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index.
    • Extreme fear can be a sign that investors are too worried. That could be a buying opportunity.
    • When Investors are getting too greedy, that means the market is due for a correction.
    This is currently where that indicator stands:

    Screen Shot 2022-01-06 at 2.00.27 PM.png
     
    #186     Jan 6, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  7. themickey

    themickey

    ~35,000 is my target area.
     
    #187     Jan 6, 2022
  8. stepan7

    stepan7

    CME Futures BTC 120M => Consolidation for now.
    BTC 01-22 (120 Minute) 2022_01_06 (16_15_25).png
     
    #188     Jan 6, 2022
  9. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    I've always wanted to own Solana but it ran away from me before I could buy some last year. While the sky is falling, I'm going to buy some SOL here in a minute.
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2022
    #189     Jan 22, 2022
    johnarb likes this.
  10. Baron

    Baron Administrator

    Ok, just bought $5k worth of SOL, which is 51.12 SOL @ $97.82
     
    #190     Jan 22, 2022
    semperfrosty and johnarb like this.