AUD trading oppty

Discussion in 'Forex' started by tracer619, Jul 31, 2012.

  1. contra

    contra

    cool so on average, weekly trades.

    Good China PMI tonight = shot at 0550 and TP's.... I would then say we see it trade back down ahead of the main events. That's my call lol.

    Bad China data... should hook you up a bit going into the events.
     
    #11     Jul 31, 2012
  2. working out of losses

    no I never actually work out of them I just take them

    They can be quite large

    much more than I ever would have endured when I was using stops

    The idea is for my winners all combined to be more than that one big loser

    I would like to see one big winner more than my one big loser

    but most the time it is a lot of smaller winners outpacing the one big loser

    Martingale is the only system that has no risk of ruin, as long as you have no betting limit and an infinite supply of money

    No, once a loss starts to develope, it usually only gets worse, averaging down can help, and it does most of the time, but still in the end, I take the loss
     
    #12     Jul 31, 2012
  3. yes, until they let me trade the yuan, AUD is just it's slave. As China goes, so does AUD

    thanks for the heads up
     
    #13     Jul 31, 2012
  4. contra

    contra

    lol, the total opposite of the old adage, let your winners run and cut losses.

    LOL indeed.

    Well I'm sure there is a method to your madness haha, but I am of the school of thought that risk is most important here. Id rather work out a plan with a reason and if it doesn't work out, the trade is wrong and I take the loss, thats where the stop goes. This is done before the entry and is more important. Targets are more discretionary but the reason and timing is also. I took the loss on my aussie punt, and I gotta tell you I'm not gonna lose any sleep over it, it's just one trade. I can enter at a better time, and the risks are great here this week.

    I sleep better knowing I have my risk set then not.

    I like to go for swings or work something with ATR on the daily or 4hr for a day trade. This is the way to go for me in FX anyway.
     
    #14     Jul 31, 2012
  5. Short AUD/USD from here to 1.03610. Should be there in a couple days. Cut trade 30 mins before FOMC/Fed announcement if it doesn't reach target.
     
    #15     Jul 31, 2012
  6. if all the small traders are getting short, that can't be good

    but thanks for the warning.
     
    #16     Jul 31, 2012
  7. contra

    contra

    depending on where we are at i might put a buy limit above market for a shot at 0550 on china data


    to guys calling trades where are your stops? (except oldtime)

    are you guys running similar strategies?

    0361 target (weekly open/gap level), im guessing around 0550-0600
     
    #17     Jul 31, 2012
  8. contra

    contra

    after the China data... another punt :)

    if you can't beat em'... try and get in where you fit in...

    will be watching closely...
     
    #18     Aug 1, 2012
  9. She doesn't want to crack. Bets off breakeven. (Well, little better, but who cares.) Try again at the next resistances of 1.0614 or 1.0785.

    I thought the fed announcement was Thursday... Not Wednesday... Hmm... Looks like AUD is going to the moon on QE3 tomorrow already and doesn't have the time to drop.
     
    #19     Aug 1, 2012
  10. I work in smaller increments than that. There is money in them thar wicks! Of course, this means you have to check back fairly often.:)
     
    #20     Aug 1, 2012