atticus' "ship it" vol trading journal

wait has someone figured out definite on apple earnings??

 

GOOG bro.

 

16.25 mid on the neutral-touch.

 

Pretty good little trade already.

 

My only concern is the downside here, but it earns well down to 760 on spot.

 

haha.. obviously i haven't been paying attention... i didn't hold the MA fly... fucking should have...

just did this

+ BOT 1 BIDU SEP 28 '12 + 100 - (2)130 + 115 Call Butterfly 11.95 USD SMART 13:25:35 OptTrader 2.16 null

it copied wrong... i'm short the 115's werid... scared me when i looked at it again

 

Yeah I think a pullback is feasible

 

AAPL vols are now 300 in NOV/OCT so it's actually tightened instead of diverging. It's even less certain of a "4th Tuesday" so I am unwilling to trade Oct vola in AAPL here. I'll stick to the weeklies until it's known.

 

Yeah I just noticed that as well. I am looking to offer the Oct AAPL fly here.

 

That's really tight, but looks ok.