atticus' "ship it" vol trading journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by atticus, Sep 5, 2012.

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  1. Buy the 20/30/40 QCOR fly. I would avoid AAPL this week. Do the puts.
     
    #401     Sep 20, 2012
  2. Daal

    Daal

    Thats long 20c short 30c and long 40c?
     
    #402     Sep 20, 2012
  3. long 1x20c short 2x30c and long 1x40c


    :)
     
    #403     Sep 20, 2012
  4. There is no demand for the synthetic short in QCOR even though it's restricted on the natural short. The synthetic is a dime under spot. It's easily shorted near spot so demand seems near equilibrium. I believe vol will drop at least 10 handles in Oct tomorrow.
     
    #404     Sep 20, 2012
  5. i have thoughts......

    wanna buy super otm wing puts for names that have things like netflix, cmg, momentum destruction happen to them.. just those couple hundred dollar names that are flying in the clouds fundamentally that will one day fall... one day you get cmg fall a hundred bucks.. and otm's go from cents to 50 dollars... anyone make these long blowout volatility bets?? i wanted to make a list of these stocks that have tumble potential and buy some wings.... anyone have experience with this? i'm talking literally about buying .05 to .30 cent options way otm.. knowning most bets will lose.. i've never got the inclination that anyone is trying to do this.. i sometimes think people don't do this cause they can't afford the loss emotionally no matter how small it is..
     
    #405     Sep 20, 2012
  6. Hello cdcaveman, some people call what you describe "units" and they are generally used as cheap insurance for some other strategy.
     
    #406     Sep 20, 2012
  7. units??? never heard that
     
    #407     Sep 20, 2012

  8. I would look into 1 strike OTM QQQ options on Thursday for a 1 day trade. Example: At close today the 70.50 calls were going for $0.07 while the QQQ was at $70.30 or so.

    Let's check that trade out on Friday while the market is open.


    :)
     
    #408     Sep 21, 2012
  9. ammo

    ammo

    brk/b sold today on a new high..http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mflppg-moneyflow.html.. 4200 of the 82.5 jan puts traded near a buck,i assume there was a buyer.. http://imgur.com/QilVT .. its a risk of a buck ,stock could fall to 79..warren is going thru treatment for prostate cancer.. http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/brk.b?source=search_general&s=brk.b .. someone is taking a shot
     
    #409     Sep 21, 2012
  10. Most prostate cancers are very slow to metastasize. I would be more concerned with the effects of the rads, but I am sure it was a gamma knife procedure. The take-away is that he's more likely to die of old age (respiratory failure, etc) than from the PC.

    Vola is very low on BRK_B.
     
    #410     Sep 21, 2012
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