Atlanta Fed Sees GDP Rocketing to 5.4% in First Quarter

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Feb 1, 2018.

  1. jem

    jem

    my typo actually had it that I was very krugmanesque... although you interpreted it correctly.
     
    #31     Mar 26, 2018
  2. jem

    jem

    that looks like a new argument from you and its one I have been making or a long time.
    Govt policies and the FED printing trillons of dollars (and thereby causing massive inflation) has wrecked median family income and hard working americans.

    I am surprised the graph is not lower due to the fact we have also imported 40 million americans and probably another 20 to 30 million illegals. ( Many of whom have kept wages down for the average american.)

    Tax cuts would help median income type families.
    I think we should eliminate all income taxes and should cap spending and FED money creation.


    Instead of borrowing we just print.

    If people then become disillusioned with inflation prior to coming into balance we then can have a serious govt with serious discussions about how justly allocate or resources. not this assholish 1.3 trillon dollar piece of crap.

    If you are going to spend like that why bother with income taxes?




     
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2018
    #32     Mar 26, 2018
  3. piezoe

    piezoe

    These are topics I am always happy to discuss, but I haven't got time right now. Perhaps later.
     
    #33     Mar 27, 2018
  4. SteveM

    SteveM

    #34     Apr 16, 2018
  5. destriero

    destriero




    BWAAAAAA HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA


    Jem, you gotta work in govt!
     
    #35     Apr 16, 2018
  6. destriero

    destriero

    5.4 - 1.9 = 3.5 under projected growth.

    1.9/5.4-1 = 65% under projected growth.

    You're right about one thing, Repugs... Obama never did this! Have the FRB miss a quarterly GDP estimate by 65%!
     
    #36     Apr 16, 2018
    exGOPer likes this.
  7. jem

    jem

    here we go again...



    https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx


    The growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic activity, but the official estimate is released with a delay. Our GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model.

    Recent forecasts for the GDPNow model are available here. More extensive numerical details—including underlying source data, forecasts, and model parameters—are available as a separate spreadsheet.

    Latest forecast: 4.8 percent — June 1, 2018


    ---


    some may knows this some may if I were working at the FED making forecasts and I was not a Board Governor I would not be a government worker. Employees of the FED are private sector employees.

    --

    by the way piezoe... i looked at your graph again. Imagine what that would look like if they used a higher inflation number.
     
    Last edited: Jun 2, 2018
    #37     Jun 2, 2018
  8. jem

    jem

    can we take the lack of response, to mean the FED estimates seem more likely to be realized this quarter?
     
    #38     Jun 4, 2018
  9. Arnie

    Arnie

    I think the Atlanta Fed should find something else to do.
     
    #39     Jun 4, 2018
    Poindexter likes this.
  10. LacesOut

    LacesOut

    whatever happens - we know this: Libs hate growth and success..
    they only want government dependency...
    it's how they roll...
     
    #40     Jun 4, 2018
    Optionpro007 likes this.