ASX musings, observations, chat

Discussion in 'Trading' started by themickey, Jan 14, 2024.

  1. themickey

    themickey

  2. nitrene

    nitrene

    I think the rise of copper is linked to China infrastructure investment so the rise of China should mirror copper. I'm pretty sure the ASX mirrors copper as well. I mean commodities & mining is like 40% of the ASX, I believe.
     
    #52     Mar 31, 2025
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  3. themickey

    themickey

    Nice observation.

    HGK25_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_04_01_2025.png

    Here's a percentage comparison of Copper cash (black line) versus FXI (China large Caps ETF), 3 years.

    XJO.AX_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_04_01_2025.png
    This chart is XJO (Top 200 ASX, Black line) versus FXI (China ETF).
    Banking sector is strong and has a huge influence on XJO

    Must be a bug in barcharts, FXI moved 1% in the charts.
     
    Last edited: Mar 31, 2025
    #53     Mar 31, 2025
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  4. themickey

    themickey

    NEM_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_04_01_2025.png
    I was just looking at Newmont, it looks like a shit of a stock.
     
    #54     Mar 31, 2025
    nitrene likes this.
  5. nitrene

    nitrene

    What is going on AUDUSD? Down 6 % in 3 days. Is it related to the pharma tariff issue?
     
    #55     Apr 6, 2025
  6. themickey

    themickey

    Screenshot_20250407-071641_Firefox.jpg
    Yeah, certainly getting clobbered.
    My assumption it's related to the heavy tariffs leavied on China.
    China is Australia's main export market for iron ore and copper and coal and a few other bits and bobs like fish and dairy and other minerals.
     
    #56     Apr 6, 2025
    nitrene likes this.
  7. themickey

    themickey

    Screenshot_20250407-072413_Firefox.jpg
    NZD which is closely linked to AUD is not copping it quite as hard.
     
    #57     Apr 6, 2025
    nitrene likes this.
  8. nitrene

    nitrene

    Yeah. That makes more sense since it's such a big part of the Aussie economy.
     
    #58     Apr 6, 2025
    themickey likes this.
  9. themickey

    themickey

    The ASX is correlated to Shanghai mkt.
     
    #59     Apr 6, 2025
  10. themickey

    themickey

    Just a quick one today on short term market direction as I see it.
    Thought I would chime in during this high volatile period.

    Overnight US, huge volatility / whipsaw.
    At the end of the day this is what I saw.

    Coal for some strange reason outperformed. I havent yet checked the news on why coal.
    Gold strong still.
    Uranium attempting a bottom imo.

    RE getting slammed (good job)
    Crypto getting slammed.
    Lithium, Nickel, BHP, RIO, Energy oils, gas getting punished hard.

    The only buying I would attempt as a swinger is gold.
    Silver is not on my radar as I'm just not keen on any standalone silver stocks.
     
    #60     Apr 8, 2025
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