You mean the strategy (I assume it is pair trading) stopped working since then? When did it stop working?
"I have pre-trained the AI model according to my strategy..." It is my understanding that you cannot train Chat.GBT or Gemini. I assume you cannot train Meta's AI either? What do you mean by pre-training?
%% 1] LOOKS like it works fine with language + other tasks; I noticed it does an excellent job in replacing some union workers[machine learning + machine tasks] I've noticed trading can be much more complex than union work. Don't know if they're union + don't care on this example; 2] SAVE has been so long below 200day moving average\ see if it underperforms, long term?? SAVE did great today,+ this week ,so its not a prediction. - 50% ] As far as buy low + sell hi, that can work well; but SAVE dropped about 50% in one week+ down\a lot from that level. Of course super manager Peter Lynch did well with one airline, a historically weak sector , full of unions ; but SAVE is rated about last in customer service.[JD Power ratings] Thanks , hope this helps, it helps me.
You can technically "pretrain" (i.e start from scratch) open source models like Meta's Llama, but would take $$$Ms spent on compute (assuming same model/vocabulary). Otherwise, you could also initialize a model with their published weights (which they already pretrained and spent $$$Ms to compress 'world' knowledge), and "finetune" a model based on your specific task. So instead of tuning 7billion+ parameters, you are only tuning 100k+. That being said, this post is snake oil
%% A good one like an apple tree \ may not do anything for 12 months,= loss counting prop taxes ; then start back up again with fruit/profit
As a person who is reasonably knowledgeable in AI/ML, let me break down why the OP is full of shit. Why do I deem it worth my time to do this? Because posts like this piss me off as they are obvious scams and give people who are ACTUALLY working on AI/ML a bad wrap. OK, thanks for giving us a bit of a background, we will see whether what you write next jives with this background. No it doesn't. That's just not how ChatGPT or any of the LLMs you mentioned above work. They are conversation style models that don't really engage in long running tasks such as "real-time market monitoring." Now, perhaps you have code that is NOT AI code and use that to "monitor" the market, but that's not what you're telling people here; you are stating that "your AI" is doing that, and you and I both know that it's not! Yup, same as above, either you don't understand how LLM models work or you do and think that nobody else does. In either case, you're clearly trying to mislead people about what you may or many not have. Specifically, ChatGPT is NOT "monitoring" your portfolio exposure. You may have some code doing that, but that code has nothing in common with AI (as you claim). Again, nope! What does this even mean -- "the AI constantly calculates market ratios ..." ??? Do you mean that you have code that gets data from IBKR and your code calculates ratios? Sure, I believe that. But why claim that your very pedestrian code is some AI? What's your goal here? The fact that you even wrote these claims makes me think that you have very little experience with: writing code, AI/ML, and investing/trading. This is "plausible" although you have not provided any details that would let me evaluate whether you even have a clue about how any of what you claim would be done. Specifically, HOW are you training these two additional models? There is pretty much only one correct answer to this question given the scenario you have provided and you made no mention of it. There is also the question of why are you training these side models? Other than it sounding cool, is there a reason? The reason you provided in the above paragraph again just points out your lack of understanding of AI/ML. So, let me guess, you've read a book or two on investing, heard about ChatGPT, and decided that this kind of post is your ticket, huh? What you've written here sounds great. Unfortunately, what you claim is not possible with the technologies you specifically claim to be using. There are so many problems with this paragraph that I thought about skipping it. But, I will address a few of them. First, what is a "fundamental event"? YOU must have "trained" the model on fundamental events, right? So, you should be able to answer this in mind numbing detail; I suspect you can't provide any details beyond some general hand waving. Second, if we gloss over the first point and assume that "the AI" determined the definition of "fundamental event" on it's own during training (not likely), then why does it need to then calculate your formulas to make decisions? The whole point of training is for the AI to find the relationship between your input (the data you feed in) and output (the decisions). In this paragraph, you kinda claim that the AI was trained to find this relationships between the "fundamental events" and forward price (returns), but then claim that the same AI then needs very specific calculations (formulas provided by you) to make trading decisions? I'm gonna call bullshit on this again. It really sounds like you don't really understand how AI/ML works. It really is starting to sound like you're very new to all these subjects: software, AI/ML, and investing/trading. What you've written sounds good on the surface to a newbie. The problem is that none of it is very consistent. Who determines "fundamental events"? Do you determine then and feed them into the AI? That's plausible but then we get to my two points above. If the AI determines the "fundamental events" on its own, then the "fundamental events" become invisible as they are integrated into the relationship that the AI "learned" between the input and output. In this case, why even mention the term "fundamental event" other than because it sounds good? I think I've spotted the kitchen sink in there too Got it, your strategy is the "best" because it takes literally "everything" into account. This is just further evidence for the point of view that you're really new to all of this. Again, sounds good on the surface to a newbie, but is not very consistent. Do you really think that macro events with data released on monthly or quarterly cycles are going to affect what happens in your two day holding period? Yeah, neither do I But it sure sounds good when you tell us that you take all this stuff into account. Moving on. Up until now, I thought that you merely don't know anything about AI/ML. But, the first sentence here reveals that you don't know anything about technical indicators either I'll give you a hint, technical indicators ARE based on price data. The rest of the paragraph reads like a laundry list of "features" a newbie would come up with when asked to design a trading system. You don't say. Shit, we've all been going about this the wrong way I guess we have to add "statistics" to the list of things you're clueless about. I just don't even understand what you're doing here. I mean, how can you calculate these kinds of statistics based on one week worth of results? I just don't get it man, are you really this bad at trying to scam people? At least try to make it look half way legit. What you've posted just screams that you don't know shit about shit. Dude, just take the win. Anyone with a 17.5 SR trading strategy would be spending their time picking out the color of their new Ferrari, selecting the builder of their mega yacht, and touring Caribbean islands to buy. Don't be so modest claiming that there is "still a long way to go". You, my friend, have legitimately made it I believe I have made my "opinion" quite clear. But, if you'd be so kind, please tell me why you have posted this garbage here? Is the idea to get people to believe you and then send you money that you can scam? Perhaps you are running an psychological experiment to see just how gullible people can be? Or, are you fishing for compliments and people to tell you how smart you are? Is there perhaps another reason? I can tell you that I find posts like this extremely toxic. You waste everyones time and you misrepresent what AI can and can not do. AI/ML does have applications in investing/trading, but not the way that you suggest and certainly not the way you've described. You are causing harm to the industry because you are causing AI to be equated with scam. Please stop!
A lot depends on the quality of data and how well the model adapts to changing conditions. I’ve seen promising results, but overfitting and lagging signals can be tricky to manage.
You are on to something big here. People working on using AI for technical analysis or for price modeling are way off. There are very few investors today that look for actual profitable real companies. Todays investors move money into Buzz word stocks, Meme Stocks and well talked about stocks on the social media. This is where AI should be looking. The people looking for general profitable solid companies just buy Berkshire or General Index ETFs. Stock conversations start around 4am eastern standard time. The social media discussions go until 8pm eastern standard time. No human trader will watch social media for this length of time. It needs to be done with AI. I would run this parallel to a general Trend analysis. If the Trend is upward (which is mostly is by weighted design) then allow this AI program to just trade. If the Trend changes or chop becomes heavy, I would switch the AI off and trade hands on. I would also feature a separate earnings social media sentiment area and put the focus on this as earnings season arrives. But the down trends are being refined out of these markets over the long term thru constant changes and weighted changes to indexes. So, your model is very good and probably the only model I would choose. I will follow your comments and open an account with your system whenever it becomes open to public use
not sure if LLMs are too useful for trading but to summarize reports, emails, chats, squawks it's decent. This integrates with most LLMs https://www.langchain.com/