Are we in a stock market bubble?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Trade Prophet, Apr 15, 2020.

  1. %%
    Good judgement/discretion;
    judgemental is not always a negative concept= looks like some trader/investors judge US is opening back up/Up for business...………………………………………………………………..
    I wish I had sold my DDM for few cents more today, but getting close to 2;45 CST + I was afraid I would have to lower my bids/LOL worked out ok anyway.
    Looks like 2009 trend ,down huge 2 months + then election year more or less good up trend . Paul tudor Jones thinks 2020 is like 1999= he may be right on that ; we'll see?? I think his judgement is good; even though 1999 had more///////// uptrends than 2009
     
    #21     Apr 16, 2020
    Trade Prophet likes this.
  2. Less, the shorter the time-frame, the less relevant the economy
     
    #22     Apr 17, 2020
  3. Unless you have a proven strategy, one that you have tested and know that it makes money in the long term, perhaps it loses money in the short term because no one can see the turns and twists of the market, but you know that sticking with it for the longer term will generate income, I know I have one, I was down 12% when the market was - 35%,but now I'm back in track
     
    #23     Apr 17, 2020
  4. I think you should add 2008 us housing bubble, but I agree, this is not a bubble, it's going to be one for sure if the fed continues throwing money at the problem and cutting rates, that will create hyper inflation and a stock / bond market bubble, for the companies that will survive this..
     
    #24     Apr 17, 2020
  5. In that case we are in for another decade we don't want to miss $$$
     
    #25     Apr 17, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  6. kashirin

    kashirin

    How is P/E 24 based on GAAP is not a bubble?

    How is that not a bubble as its valuation solely based on buybacks and a lot of them financed by debt?
    if companies didn't use buyback P/E would be above 35 for S&P
    it's all financial engineering
    pretax S&P profits flat since 2015

    of course, debt doesn't matter now as it all monetized by the Fed but it's still huge bubble no matter what
     
    Last edited: Apr 17, 2020
    #26     Apr 17, 2020
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  7. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    It’s not a bubble until it pops
     
    #27     Apr 17, 2020
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  8. Good call... What kind of bubble you think this is?
     
    #28     Apr 17, 2020
  9. $$$ right, good one, take a guess when will it pop?
     
    #29     Apr 17, 2020
  10. %%
    Exactly...…………………………………………………………………………………..OIL is down /downtrend again; many stocks/ ETFs up
     
    #30     Apr 17, 2020
    Trade Prophet likes this.