are divergences really worth anything?

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Gordon Gekko, Sep 10, 2003.

  1. Depends on what your trading and how much hesitation your have (price chase range) after you receive a trade signal.

    Simply...there are lots of trading vehicles that don't have an uptick rule.

    Also...not everyone will see a flag breaking to the downside or not everyone will see the same exact same pattern as you may see know matter how much common knowledge about that pattern.

    What you see on a particular chart interval as a flag (continuation pattern)...someone else may see on another chart interval as a Spike & Ledge pattern failure...another trader may see on another chart interval as a counter-thrust failure...another trader may see a Bearish Engulfing candlestick reversal pattern on a completely different chart interval...

    et cetera.

    Thus...I can go out on the limb to say that you, I and another trader are looking for different trade signals via patterns, price action, indicators or whatever...

    therefore are not trying to enter that particular trading vehicle about the same time.

    Think outside the box.

    Its a big world out there in the markets.

    NihabaAshi
     
    #61     Sep 14, 2003
  2. lindq

    lindq

    Essentially we're saying the same thing, in that chart patterns are much like Rorchach tests. Human's have a very strong tendency to want to put order to random events, images and data, and charts play very well into that sometimes harmful tendency.

    There is a tremendous body of total crap published every day that plays into our desire to see order brought to chaos, and to try to convince us that we can profit from it.

    So when I get red is when I see patterns published in hindsight by stock market gurus, as though they are a path to riches for new traders.

    I don't believe the market is random. A sharp trader certainly can profit from abberations in price movement and deviations from perceived value. But it's real easy to push this thing too far.
     
    #62     Sep 14, 2003
  3. lindq

    lindq

    It would be great to see an example, so that we can all profit from your hard work.:p

    I don't mind eating crow. I haven't had it in a long time.
     
    #63     Sep 14, 2003
  4. Check out a series of past posts (twelve in number). They address your seeking an opportunity to eat crow.

    The reason they were posted was to cover your viewpoint. By watching a situation unfold step by step in 12 steps it does become clear to most people that any method anyone chooses and works on hard enough, can , if fact, bear fruit.

    This point has been made ad nauseum; at some point you will get it.

    After being superficial as beginners most people settle down and make sense of the opportunities that they recognize. There is a lot to be said for that. Not much to be said for being eternally glib; you don't even ever get to eat crow.
     
    #64     Sep 14, 2003
  5. ROFL!!! lindq, this is such an hilarious statement man. :D :p :D

    Scientist.
     
    #65     Sep 14, 2003
  6. Excellent arguments, Grob. Way to go! :D

    It is a funny place, EliteTrader.

    Scientist.
     
    #66     Sep 14, 2003
  7. So if not price and an indicator,
    price and what?

    jd
     
    #67     Sep 14, 2003
  8. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Pulling out the needles already, Jack? :(
     
    #68     Sep 14, 2003
  9. JD,

    That's already been discussed...re-read the thread for the answer.

    NihabaAshi
     
    #69     Sep 14, 2003
  10. lindq

    lindq

    They can address the issue all they want, put posting charts illustrating examples of divergence in hindsight does not have me sitting down to crow dinner. Not yet.

    My challenge is for someone to post a trade in real time that is clearly initiated by a divergence signal. And a followup chart would be appropriate to indicate the setup.

    I'm not trying to be thick headed here. I know much, but always have much to learn. I simply would like to see it done, as I personally have not been able to accomplish this magnificant feat beyond BE and the sense that I am playing in a field of randomness. And randomness doesn't pay the bills.
     
    #70     Sep 14, 2003