are divergences really worth anything?

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Gordon Gekko, Sep 10, 2003.

  1. I,m not asking your advice. I don't trade bottoms.

    It should be obvious to you and everyone else on this thread that I'm trying to see if you really know anything or not.

    regards

    :D
     
    #101     Oct 27, 2003
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    By asking him about something he doesn't trade. Boy, you sure made your point.
     
    #102     Oct 27, 2003
  3. Point taken.

    However...your more than welcome to find out in realtime or re-read some of my prior message posts...

    if such doesn't convince you...

    Your welcome to come to the conclusion that I know nothing about divergence nor anything else about trading.

    I won't try to convince you although that wasn't my intentions :cool:

    NihabaAshi
     
    #103     Oct 27, 2003
  4. When you trade a divergent top or bottom, you trade against the trend. By the way the divergence failed on esrx. It made a lower low.
    regards
     
    #104     Oct 27, 2003
  5. I just took a quick look at ESRX.

    I don't see a divergence...can you post a chart of exactly what you saw for everybody here that trades stocks or interested in ESRX :cool:

    You mentioned you used stochastics although you gave no setting nor any particular chart interval info...

    I took a peek at ESRX via your stochastic and I plugged in a 6,5,3 setting via a 3min chart because it looks pretty on ESRX :)

    I don't see any bullish divergence...maybe its been a long day and my eyes are somewhat tired.

    Edited In: I see them now some bullish divergence signals via a closer look based on stochastic 6,5,3 on the 3min chart.

    By the way...ESRX is a horrible looking chart...mainly because the base of most of my trades require candlestick confirmation.

    1224pm est: False bullish divergence signal via no candlestick confirmation and occuring after a rising doji (not a good sign for the weak buyers...easily shaken out of their shares).

    1306pm est: Valid bullish divergence signal via strong white line confirmation @ 56.96

    you could have exited for profits between 57.09 - 57.15 at candlestick resistance...still a profit...right?

    1515pm est: Strong white line tha engulfed the prior candlestick...strong white line @ 56.97

    you could have exited at the bearish hangman @ 57.11 when it failed to reach nearest candlestick resistance...still a profit...right?

    Once again...the above after-the-fact comments are based on the fact that you said you use stochastic and based on the fact that I like to use the 3min chart interval.

    Thus, I figure it was ok to post hindsight comments as you did when you said ESRX divergence failed.

    Also, if ES or NQ looked like ESRX chart (reference to candlesticks)...

    I would find something else to trade with clearer intraday candlestick patterns.

    Last of all...I'm still not trying to convince you of anything...I'm simply posting details about what I saw in hindsight on that ESRX chart...

    to get your input when you do a comparison to what you saw when you said it failed.

    P.S. I'm too lazy to take a look at APOL.

    Talking in hindsight is a lot easier than realtime trade posting :cool:

    1021am est: ESRX Bearish Divergence signal @ 58.10...however...we seem to be only talking about failed bullish divergence signals...price action only...no indicators...

    maybe covering at one of those valid bullish divergence signals that's mentioned above :)

    NihabaAshi
     
    #105     Oct 27, 2003
  6. sst(14,3,9)

    Will try to take a closer look at your analysis later. I don't think anyone would ever say you were lazy.:D

    regards
     
    #106     Oct 27, 2003
  7. The stochastic diverged at 1300 and then esrx made a double bottom bottom between 1450 and 1500. And then the stochastic diverged again. Now that's what I call a real signal. Unfortunately, I was watch a movie at the time.
    regards
     
    #107     Oct 27, 2003
  8. When used properly, divergences should not be traded against longer time frame trend . You look for a trend change on 1 min but take trade only in direction of a 5 min trend . Which means you are trading with the trend, not against it.
    Walter
     
    #108     Oct 28, 2003
  9. walther
    Which frame are you looking at for the divergence. What signals the trend change. If you know you have a trend change, you don't need a divergence signal. Could you be more specific.
    regards
     
    #109     Oct 28, 2003
  10. Hoodooman,
    I change time frames according to a market situation but most of the time I use 15 min charts for a trend direction and 2 min charts for entries. For daytrading, of course .
    If I want to hold for a couple of days I use 30 min and 5 min respectively.
    Should you care to post specific symbol you are interested in ,I can explain better .
    Walter
     
    #110     Oct 28, 2003