Appropriate use of Simple Moving Average?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by scotta65, Jan 29, 2013.

  1. If you don't know how to properly use them, I would agree.
     
    #21     Jan 31, 2013
  2. jack should talk to a few other people.. the last time i check time is not fixed.. its relative.. hence fast markets.. slow markets... the action is quite the same if adjusted for time... read Mandelbrot.
     
    #22     Jan 31, 2013
  3. Knowing how to use them, doesn't change the fact that they are lagging indicators.
     
    #23     Jan 31, 2013
  4. I never said they were not lagging indicators, they are.

    However, in some circumstances, particularly once you know how to use them, they have predictive value, as in the contrary of lagging.

    Do your homework, I did mine.
     
    #24     Jan 31, 2013
  5. its all relative.. all of it... your looking for values to relate to.. something to enable you to be a handle on whats going on... if you have a moving average.. you can see how far away from the average its gotton.. and if your in a mean reversion environment.. that could mean alot..
    you know i'm almost sure that alot of strategies work.. especially on larger time frames..

    say this.. only buy when you hear crash and theres some market turmoil show on cnbc.. never sell... boom you never take a loss.. and you are guaranteed to win!.. and of course don't be stupid.. by indices some stocks do actually die.. better to have them fall out of the indice then a hole in your pocket..
     
    #25     Jan 31, 2013
  6. true, there are enough problems without making more

    just look at the subsequent posts

    all an argument over the numbers

    It happened today jan 30, 2013 over the gdp

    people like to argue about the numbers

    but they forgot what those numbers represent

    betting on who is buying stocks

    is not the same as betting on who is buying the products or services these stocks produce
     
    #26     Jan 31, 2013
  7. I have done my homework. Your comment stated that if known how to use correctly, a lagging indicator converts to a predictive iindicator [Contrary to lagging? lol]. I stated that knowing how to use one doesn't change the underlying characteristic, that is all I said.

    MA's have their uses, I use them as confirmation tools, trend or consolidation bias, trade mgmt, but predictive indicators on their own? No. As a stand alone indicator they are not viable, except to market/sell to noobies and wannabee's.
     
    #27     Jan 31, 2013
  8. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    It sounds like you're making an argument for fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis. Whatever helps you pull the trigger, dude.
     
    #28     Jan 31, 2013
  9. The point is. You dont get the point........ haha
     
    #29     Jan 31, 2013
  10. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    Oh brother.

    As GoldenMember pointed out, you're just plain wrong.

    What you are coyly hinting at is Momentum, e.g., MA crossovers.

    Yawn.

    Momentum indicators can be, and often are, made with no MAs at all. This is elementary stuff.

    What you may not realize is that while momenta are great when price is trending, the last things you want to be looking at when price is chopping are momenta. Momenta in chopping markets are the sources of whipsaws aka death (of your trading account) by a thousand cuts.
     
    #30     Jan 31, 2013