Anything Can Happen™

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Gaslight Capital, Nov 17, 2020.

  1. You sound like you are getting exuberant. AAPL at $172 by middle January, 2021 is over a 400% annualized return on the underlying. Although if it did happen, Apple would certainly drag major indexes along with it. From investopedia.org:

    Apple's Weighting In Key Indexes, ETFs
    • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): 3.37%
    • Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ): 9.68%
    • iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW): 14.57%
    • Fidelity MSCI Information Technology ETF (FTEC): 15.16%
    • Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT): 15.69%
    • Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK): 16.77%
     
    #331     Dec 28, 2020
    .sigma and Gaslight Capital like this.
  2. It may or may not get there by Jan opex, and it may not get there at all:

    Anything Can Happen™

    It is math, not emotion, and it is the way things have been working for years. I trade like no one you know. It is math and price action and it is stunningly accurate. And let's not skip the most important conditional at the preface of the $AAPL post: "IF ..."

    Let me define a "break and hold:" A stock must break above the stated level and close there. It must then follow through with a higher high than the breakout day and maintain the close above the breakout level. Now, how one chooses to trade based upon that should depend upon one's own back testing and risk tolerance and blah blah blah.

    But no exuberance here, brother. Math, not emotion.

    Be the Algo™
     
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2020
    #332     Dec 29, 2020
    BeautifulStranger and .sigma like this.
  3. $GS with a close above $263 ...

    upload_2020-12-29_9-12-3.png
     
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2020
    #333     Dec 29, 2020
  4. As viewed through the lens of the IWM

    upload_2020-12-29_10-21-37.png
     
    #334     Dec 29, 2020
  5. When I was in school, kids called this an "Atomic Wedgie" ...

    upload_2020-12-29_10-26-55.png
    RTYH21
     
    #335     Dec 29, 2020
    BeautifulStranger likes this.
  6. upload_2020-12-29_12-37-42.png
     
    #336     Dec 29, 2020
  7. Went into the day looking to get long $AAPL and closed the day short via the January 8, 2021 135 puts, average cost $2.33/contract ... looking to close them out if price gets to $125 or lower.

    upload_2020-12-29_16-2-37.png
     
    #337     Dec 29, 2020
  8. This may indicate we are getting close to some sort of a top to the SPAC attack:

    [​IMG]
     
    #338     Dec 30, 2020
  9. upload_2020-12-30_9-13-38.png
     
    #339     Dec 30, 2020
    InAllHonesty likes this.
  10. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    might be a good day to take isrg long
     
    #340     Dec 30, 2020
    Gaslight Capital likes this.