Anybody else short US 30 Bond

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by richard_m, Dec 18, 2007.

  1. #2011     Aug 16, 2010
  2. :D

    Steepener capitulation. I adore PANIC. :)
     
    #2012     Aug 16, 2010
  3. #2013     Aug 16, 2010
  4. More QE = bad for the trade...cant get much worse since the FED meeting IMHO
     
    #2014     Aug 17, 2010
  5. remember boys they are buying off the run paper, ZB 113-134 you gotta think they will stop I mean with a .51% 2 year this is enough! Bought NOB this morning thank you ZB! High was 140-142 when world was ending and ES was 665.
    Only buying 18B we issue that every two weeks just in 2's...


    10 yr Donk I agree the trade has been horrible what about ES? The fu#ker goes one direction I sold 1122 and 1124 and couldn't make $ on em for 2 days and then it drops 50 bucks every trade is brutal I just sold the high at 98.50 and was gald to buy 97.75 the thing just sucks I hate ALGOS!
     
    #2015     Aug 17, 2010
  6. I choose to trade 10yrs and bonds and thats about it...I was trying bottom pick ES in '08...didn't turn out too well. I thought July was good in the notes and bonds and then August hits and poof its GONE!
     
    #2016     Aug 17, 2010
  7. #2017     Aug 18, 2010
  8. I'm thinking about Dec Tlt puts , any better options. I feel bonds will crush by December.
     
    #2018     Aug 18, 2010
  9. From Citibank :

    Our rates strategists, Mark Schofield and Robert Crossley, believe that bond yields will rise. They believe the sustained global economic recovery, the historically low level of bond yields and gloomy fiscal outlook will all contribute to eventually drive yields higher. Their forecasts are for US bond yields to rise by 75 basis points by the end of 2010 and a further 70 basis points by the end of 2011. German 10-year yields are expected to rise by 60 basis points and another 15 basis points over the same periods.

    http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/201...-decoupling-is-quite-the-conundrum-citi-says/

    Heard this story before from Morgan Stanley´s strong steepening "believers"...
     
    #2019     Aug 19, 2010
  10. Yep. Based on early year forecasts we were suppose to be at 4.25 - 4.5 % on the 10 year by now.
     
    #2020     Aug 19, 2010