any thought for 2010? i have a feeling this is not going to be a great year for treasuries - recently the action is without conviction especially on the way up (prices). this makes it different to the past 5 years. the sell-off may also come because i am the least short bonds ever - in fact i have a small flattener on...
are y'all going to start trading these new longer duration Bonds? They start January 11th. (from CME website) Member Fees Waived Through June 30, 2010, fees for Ultra T-Bond futures are waived for all Type 1 (Individual), Type 2 (Equity), Type 3 (Trading) and Type 4 (Electronic Corporate) members, as well as International Incentive Program (IIP) participants. This waiver includes exchange fees, clearing fees, ex-pit surcharges, and exchange fees for non trades (e.g., deliveries, assignments, expirations, and cash settlement/deliveries).
have not traded Futures/Cash since Sept, just long TBT from 43 ish area, which was the 123 ZB area. About to start again soon.
we will see how the product goes, if you remember the 3year started strong, now its a 10-20/32nd spread if you are lucky.
Wanted to send a shout out / shameless plug for the bondtraderforum . com I created a while back. The forums have been dead for a while, and perhaps a little mention like this may help get them going. They are spam free and reliable now, so feel free to join and contribute. online chat as well...
started trading again today for the first time since Sept. I go away for 4 months and the books are thicker. I love the ZN and Full ticks on ZB is in a word awesome. Going to start trading size again soon. You can really tell that the NOB is back no more bull$hit sweeps anymore size trading in spreads is nice for stability.
slow slow then 29K ZN and 12K ZB trade up in 30 seconds What was that? Fat finger they got me to puke into em.